Tip-Off: 12 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
Total: 229.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Grizzlies |
| 56-27 (67%) | All | 43-40-1 (51%) |
| 30-12 (71%) at home | Location | 22-19-1 (53% on the road |
| 54-26 (67%) as favorite | Status | 14-17-1 (45%) as underdog |
| 30-12 (71%) as home favorite | Location Status | 10-11-1 (47%) as road underdog |
| 4-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-4 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 45-37-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
- Memphis is 49-34-1 (59%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 25-17 (59%) against the over at home.
- The Grizzlies are 20-19-1 (51%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats (Regular Season)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 121.7 | 116.9 | 47.9 | 36.7 | 47.3 | 28.4 | 15.7 | 8.9 | 5.6 | W1 | 5-5 |
| OKC | 120.5 | 107.6 | 48.2 | 37.4 | 44.8 | 26.9 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 5.7 | W4 | 8-2 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
Grizzlies
- Brandon Clarke (strained PCL in right knee) is OUT.
- GG Jackson (personal reasons) is OUT.
- Jaylen Wells (fractured right wrist) is OUT.
Series History
The Thunder went 4-0 against the Grizzlies in the regular season (2-0 at home, 2-0 on the road). OKC has also defeated Memphis in nine straight games.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-13.5)
The Thunder had the Grizzlies’ number in all four meetings in the regular season. That doesn’t necessarily mean much when it comes to a Playoff series, but I think Memphis is a great matchup for OKC, and as a result, I can see the healthy, rested Thunder dominating the Grizzlies, who had to play two Play-In games just to get to this point.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228)
Despite the Grizzlies having one of the top offenses in the league, Memphis has struggled to score against OKC’s prolific defense. Add Playoff energy to the equation, and I think the Thunder will force this one into a lower-scoring game.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 61-19 | 49-30-1 | 37-43-1 |
| Zack | 68-15 | 59-24 | 42-41 |
| Craig | 65-16 | 58-21-2 | 39-41-1 |