Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Enters Game 1 as Home Favorite Against Rested Timberwolves

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Total: 215.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Timberwolves
60-34 (63%)	All	46-45-1 (50%)
34-14 (70%) at home	Location	25-21 (54%) on the road
58-33 (63%) as favorite	Status	14-8 (63%) as underdog
34-14 (70%) as home favorite	Location Status	11-6 (64%) as road underdog
1-3 (25%)	Head To Head	3-1 (75%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 50-43-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
• Minnesota is 50-42 (54%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 28-20 (58%) against the over at home.
• The Timberwolves are 21-25 (45%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Playoffs)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
MIN	108.2	101.1	46.5	35.0	42.0	24.9	14.8	8.1	4.5	W4	8-2
OKC	117.1	104.2	45.4	31.9	46.2	25.5	10.9	10.6	6.1	W1	8-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Timberwolves

• NONE

Series History

The Thunder went 2-2 against the Nuggets in the regular season (1-1 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-7.5)

The Thunder enters this game on just one day of rest, while the Timberwolves have had almost a full week. OKC’s starters got to rest for pretty much the entire fourth quarter on Sunday, plus that game was in the afternoon, so that’s a little extra rest. Still, Minnesota should be fresh, so I expect this one to be a close finish to start the series. I’m taking the Thunder to win at home, but I’m taking the Timberwolves to cover the spread.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (215.5)

The Thunder played their best defensive game of the playoffs in Game 7 against the Nuggets, and the Timberwolves have allowed just a little over 100 points per game in the playoffs so far. Expect a defensive battle to start the series. As a result, I’m taking the under on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	70-21	57-33-1	43-48-1
Zack	76-18	64-30	48-46
Craig	73-19	63-27-2	47-44-1