Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Looks for Bounceback in Game 4 as Slight Favorite Over Timberwolves

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Total: 218.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Timberwolves
62-35 (63%)	All	47-47-1 (50%)
26-21 (55%) on the road	Location	22-24-1 (47%) at home
60-34 (63%) as favorite	Status	15-10 (60%) as underdog
24-20 (54%) as road favorite	Location Status	4-2 (66%) as home underdog
3-4 (42%)	Head To Head	4-3 (57%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 52-44-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
• Minnesota is 52-43 (54%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 23-23-1 (50%) against the over on the road.
• The Timberwolves are 30-17 (63%) against the over at home.

Team Stats (Playoffs)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	115.8	105.7	45.7	32.4	44.8	25.5	11.3	10.3	5.4	L1	6-4
MIN	108.9	103.4	46.2	35.1	42.5	24.4	14.7	7.2	4.8	W1	7-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Timberwolves

• NONE

Series History

OKC leads Minnesota 2-1 in the Western Conference Finals (2-0 at home, 0-1 on the road). The Thunder went 2-2 against the Nuggets in the regular season (1-1 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-3.5)

Game 3 was a masterpiece for the Timberwolves and an atrocity for the Thunder. As close as the spread was, the final score was not. This game features another close spread, and OKC has done a great job following up bad performances with good ones. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is not likely to have another bad performance, and the supporting cast will follow his lead. Take the Thunder to rebound with a win and cover the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (218.5)

Minnesota started to find its shot in Game 3, and while I highly doubt they shoot that well again, I do think it will be better than Games 1 and 2. OKC, on the other hand, has yet to have a great shooting game in this series, and I think you will see more of their attempts go down. I’m taking the over in this one.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	72-22	58-34-1	43-51-1
Zack	78-19	64-33	49-48
Craig	75-20	65-28-2	48-46-1