Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Takes on Blazers in Road SEGABABA as Slight Favorite

Tip-Off: 9 PM CT

Location: Moda Center at the Rose Quarter (Portland, Oregon)

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

Total: 229.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatBlazers
4-4 (50%)All5-2 (71%)
2-2 (50%) on the roadLocation3-1 (75%)%) at home
4-4 (50%) as favoriteStatus4-0 (100%) as underdog
2-2 (50%) as road favoriteLocation Status3-0 (100%) as home underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 5-3 (62%) against the over on the season.
  • Portland is 5-2 (71%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 2-2 (50%) against the over on the road.
  • The Blazers are 3-1 (75%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC122.6109.447.433.347.025.512.110.95.4W88-0
POR120.3117.645.132.341.126.617.012.14.6L14-3

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Luguentz Dort (right shoulder contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Jalen Williams (right wrist surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Kenrich Williams (left knee surgical recovery) is OUT.

Blazers

  • Scoot Henderson (torn left hamstring) is OUT.
  • Damian Lillard (left Achilles tendon injury recovery) is OUT.
  • Shaedon Sharpe (strained left calf) is PROBABLE.
  • Matisse Thybulle (left thumb ligament tear). is OUT.
  • Blake Wesley (fractured right foot is OUT).

Series History

OKC went 4-0 against the Blazers in the 2024-25 regular season (2-0 at home, 2-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-4.5)

OKC had a late matchup with the Clippers last night in LA, but they took care of business early enough to allow starters some rest for at least a good chunk of the fourth quarter. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander didn’t play a minute of the final period, and I think that little extra rest will pay dividends in tonight’s second game of a back-to-back on the road. Portland appears to be exceeding expectations early, but I don’t see them maintaining that energy against the reigning NBA Champs. I’m taking the Thunder to cover.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229.5)

OKC’s offense continues to find ways to score, especially late in games, and the defense has been electric. Portland has a solid offense right now, but the defense is questionable, so I’m taking the over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt7-14-42-6
Zack8-04-44-4
Craig8-03-52-6

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