Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
Total: 232.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Kings |
| 8-7 (53%) | All | 4-10 (28%) |
| 4-2 (66%) at home | Location | 3-4 (42%) on the road |
| 8-7 (53%) as favorite | Status | 3-8 (27%) as underdog |
| 4-2 (66%) as home favorite | Location Status | 3-4 (42%) as road underdog |
| 1-1 (50%) | Head To Head | 1-1 (50%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 8-7 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Sacramento is 8-6 (57%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 4-2 (66%) against the over at home.
- The Kings are 4-3 (47%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 112.9 | 124.4 | 46.7 | 37.2 | 39.4 | 26.4 | 14.4 | 8.6 | 3.4 | L6 | 2-8 |
| OKC | 121.9 | 106.4 | 47.9 | 34.8 | 46.6 | 25.8 | 12.8 | 10.8 | 5.2 | W6 | 9-1 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Branden Carlson (nasal fracture) is AVAILABLE.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Aaron Wiggins (strained left adductor) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (right wrist surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Kenrich Williams (left knee surgical recovery) is OUT.
Kings
- Dylan Cardwell (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Keegan Murray (left thumb UCL injury recovery) is OUT.
- Daeqwon Plowden (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Domantas Sabonis (left knee soreness) is OUT.
- Isaiah Stevens (G League — two-way) is OUT.
Series History
OKC is 1-0 against Sacramento so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road) and has won 7 straight against the Pelicans, including the last 4 at the Paycom Center.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-18.5)
Sacramento has lost 6 consecutive games by an average of 22 points. The Kings have had the toughest schedule in the NBA so far this season, but still, even a play-in spot seems unlikely at this point for them. To add insult to injury, Sacramento will be without Domantas Sabonis for the second straight matchup against the Thunder. When these two teams met in Sacramento almost 2 weeks ago, OKC won by 31 points. I don’t expect that big of a blowout tonight, but it’s probably going to be in the 20ish points range.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (232.5)
This is a pretty big point total considering how good OKC’s defense is, but the Thunder tend to hit the over at home, and I expect them to score a ton of points against Sacramento. Even though I’m anticipating a blowout win for the Thunder, I’m taking the over on this one.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 13-2 | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Zack | 14-1 | 7-8 | 8-7 |
| Craig | 14-1 | 6-9 | 4-11 |
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