Thunder Against the Spread | OKC is a Big Home Favorite in Rematch with Blazers

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 234.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Blazers
9-8 (52%)	All	8-8 (50%)
4-3 (57%) at home	Location	3-6 (33%) on the road
9-8 (52%) as favorite	Status	7-2 (77%) as underdog
4-3 (57%) as home favorite	Location Status	2-2 (50%) as road underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 9-8 (52%) against the over on the season.
• Portland is 11-5 (68%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 4-3 (57%) against the over at home.
• The Blazers are 7-2 (77%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
POR	121.1	122.5	45.0	32.6	45.4	25.8	16.8	9.3	4.6	W1	3-7
OKC	122.6	106.3	48.5	35.8	45.3	26.2	13.1	10.9	5.5	W8	9-1

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (nasal fracture) is AVAILABLE.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Aaron Wiggins (strained left adductor) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (right wrist surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Kenrich Williams (left knee surgical recovery) is OUT.

Blazers

• Donovan Clingan (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Scoot Henderson (left hamstring tear) is OUT.
• Jrue Holiday (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Damian Lillard (torn left Achilles tendon injury management) is OUT.
• Shaedon Sharpe (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Matisse Thybulle (left thumb ligament tear) is OUT.
• Blake Wesley (fractured right foot) is OUT.
• Robert Williams III (left knee injury management) is QUESTIONABLE.

Series History

OKC is 0-1 against Portland so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road), but the Thunder has won the last 8 consecutive meetings with the Blazers at the Paycom Center.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-15.5)

OKC’s only loss this season was a 2-point decision in Portland, but that’s not why I think the Blazers cover the spread. It’s looking like OKC doesn’t NEED to blow out Portland to help with the point differential in the NBA Cup, considering the Thunder is likely to win outright. While I do think this will be a double-digit win for the Thunder, I also think the Blazers manage to cover the spread late in the game.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (234.5)

The Thunder and the Blazers are two of the NBA’s top offenses, but only one of them is actually good at defense. Still, because I think Portland covers, I think the over on the point total is likely to hit, because I’m betting on the Thunder to shoot a lot better in OKC than they did in Portland.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	15-2	9-8	4-13
Zack	16-1	8-9	8-9
Craig	16-1	8-9	5-12