Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
Total: 225.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Suns |
| 13-11 (54%) | All | 16-8 (66%) |
| 6-5 (54%) at home | Location | 7-5 (58%) on the road |
| 13-11 (54%) as favorite | Status | 8-7 (53%) as underdog |
| 6-5 (54%) as home favorite | Location Status | 5-5 (50%) as road underdog |
| 0-1 (0%) | Head To Head | 1-0 (100%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 13-11 (54%) against the over on the season.
- Phoenix is 9-15 (37%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 6-5 (54%) against the over at home.
- The Suns are 5-7 (41%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHO | 115.9 | 113.5 | 46.7 | 36.8 | 42.5 | 25.4 | 15.7 | 10.8 | 4.0 | W1 | 6-4 |
| OKC | 123.0 | 106.9 | 49.7 | 37.4 | 44.7 | 26.5 | 12.6 | 10.0 | 5.3 | W15 | 10-0 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained right soleus) is OUT.
- Isaiah Joe (left knee contusion) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
Suns
- Devin Booker (strained right groin) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Jalen Green (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
- Isaiah Livers (strained right hip) is OUT.
Series History
OKC is 1-0 against Phoenix so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road), and the Thunder has won 7 consecutive meetings with the Suns (4-0 at home, 3-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-14.5)
Just a couple of weeks ago, these two teams met in an NBA Cup game that was a dog fight. This one could be the same, but in the end, I see the Thunder covering because of the rest that some key guys have received. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, and Alex Caruso are all returning from injury after sitting out at least the last game, and if the Suns have to go without Devin Booker (strained right groin), then OKC could make this one a blowout early. Still, it is the knockout round of the NBA Cup Tournament, and the competition tends to go up in these meetings, so expect Phoenix to play with a little extra incentive. In the end, though, I’m taking the Thunder to win big and cover the spread.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (225.5)
I’m having a really hard time taking the over on the point total in any Thunder game at this point, especially one that has higher stakes than a regular game. OKC’s defense is suffocating, and they’re holding teams to the fewest points per game in the league. Add to it that this is the knockout round of the NBA Cup, and I don’t see this one going over the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 22-2 | 14-9 | 9-15 |
| Zack | 23-1 | 12-12 | 12-12 |
| Craig | 23-1 | 11-12-1 | 8-16 |