Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
Total: 228.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Spurs |
| 19-21 (47%) | All | 21-18-1 (53%) |
| 11-11 (50%) at home | Location | 11-11 (50%) on the road |
| 19-21 (47%) as favorite | Status | 11-4 (73%) as underdog |
| 11-11 (50%) as home favorite | Location Status | 8-4 (66%) as road underdog |
| 0-3 (0%) | Head To Head | 3-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 21-19 (52%) against the over on the season.
- San Antonio is 17-23 (42%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 10-12 (45%) against the over at home.
- The Spurs are 9-10 (47%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 118.1 | 112.6 | 47.3 | 34.6 | 46.8 | 25.6 | 13.9 | 8.0 | 4.6 | L1 | 5-5 |
| OKC | 121.4 | 108.4 | 48.9 | 35.5 | 43.9 | 25.7 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 5.6 | W3 | 7-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Luguentz Dort (left foot soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
Spurs
- Harrison Ingram (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- David Jones Garcia (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Stanley Umude (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Devin Vassell (strained left adductor) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-7.5)
A lot has happened in the last few weeks since the Spurs defeated the Thunder for the third time in just a couple of weeks’ span. OKC hasn’t been perfect, losing a couple more games, but they have actually been one of the winningest teams in the league since Christmas, going 7-2 since. Meanwhile, San Antonio has struggled, going 4-5 in the same time.
The Spurs dominated the Thunder on Christmas Day because of how well-rounded their backcourt played. Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, and De’Aaron Fox have been some of the worst shooters in the league in their minutes since that game. Victor Wembanyama is finally back in the starting lineup for the Spurs, though, so it will be interesting to see how the Thunder continues to adjust to his long arms in the paint. Tonight’s matchup will come down to who can get the stops at the rim, an area where San Antonio dominated in the first three meetings with OKC.
I think Mark Daigneault has some adjustments up his sleeve, and as for the Thunder’s defense, I would expect them to be the aggressor tonight. I’m taking OKC not only to win, but to cover the spread in the process.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)
I’m fully anticipating a defensive slugfest in this one. Neither OKC nor San Antonio has shot the ball particularly well, and as the league continues to hype this up as the next big rivalry, you can’t help but feel like the players are buying into that as well. Don’t be surprised if there are a lot of fouls, a handful of free throws, and maybe even some blood on some jerseys tonight. Both teams want this one badly, and I don’t think points will come easily.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 33-7 | 21-19 | 17-23 |
| Zack | 33-7 | 21-19 | 19-21 |
| Craig | 33-7 | 14-25-1 | 13-27 |