Tip-Off: 12 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Total: 226.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Timberwolves |
| 31-36 (46%) | All | 29-38 (43%) |
| 15-20 (42%) at home | Location | 15-18 (45%) on the road |
| 28-35 (44%) as favorite | Status | 7-7 (50%) as underdog |
| 14-20 (41%) as home favorite | Location Status | 5-5 (50%) as road underdog |
| 0–3 (0%) | Head To Head | 3-0 (100%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 36-31 (53%) against the over on the season.
- Minnesota is 32-35 (47%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 17-18 (48%) against the over at home.
- The Timberwolves are 21-12 (63%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 118.7 | 115.1 | 48.5 | 37.1 | 44.3 | 26.2 | 14.7 | 8.7 | 5.6 | W1 | 6-4 |
| OKC | 118.6 | 107.8 | 48.2 | 35.9 | 43.7 | 25.4 | 12.6 | 9.6 | 5.5 | W7 | 9-1 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Branden Carlson (strained lower back) is OUT.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (left calf contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
Timberwolves
- Joan Beringer (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Anthony Edwards (right knee soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Enrique Freeman (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Julian Phillips (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Zyon Pullin (G League — two-way) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-8.5)
OKC is 1-2 against Minnesota this season, and the Thunder hasn’t covered in any of those three games. These two teams know each other VERY WELL, and as a result, it’s created a lot of close meetings over the last couple of seasons. 5 of the last 7 regular-season games between the Thunder and the Timberwolves have been decided by single digits, and I think this one will be the same. One thing to keep an eye on: Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable with knee soreness, but I anticipate that he plays. If he has to miss, the Timberwolves could struggle to stay afloat. Isaiah Hartenstein is questionable as well, and while I don’t think he plays, he would help the Thunder out tremendously down low. While I’m taking the Thunder to win, I like Minnesota to cover.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (226.5)
Something about a noon tip-off feels like energy is going to be questionable early. I’m not sure if that’s going to impact offense or defense more, but only 1 of the 3 meetings this season has gone over this point total. I’m expecting a physical game with a lower score.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 52-14 | 31-35 | 28-38 |
| Zack | 53-14 | 32-35 | 32-35 |
| Craig | 51-15 | 24-41-1 | 27-39 |