Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Against Phoenix in Regular Season Finale

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, Colorado)

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

Total: 212.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Suns
39-42 (48%)	All	47-34 (58%)
19-22 (46%) at home	Location	23-17 (57%) on the road
36-40 (47%) as favorite	Status	23-19 (54%) as underdog
18-22 (45%) as home favorite	Location Status	11-13 (45%) as road underdog
2-2 (50%)	Head To Head	2-2 (50%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 44-37 (54%) against the over on the season.
• Phoenix is 34-47 (42%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 21-10 (50%) against the over at home.
• The Suns are 19-21 (47%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
PHO	112.3	111.2	45.4	36.0	43.0	24.6	14.5	9.6	4.2	L1	5-5
OKC	119.2	107.5	48.4	36.4	44.2	25.7	12.6	9.7	5.5	L1	8-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (rest) is OUT.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (right oblique injury management) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (left soleus injury management) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (lower back spasms) is OUT.
• Isaiah Joe (knee soreness) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (left ankle injury management) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (left great toe soreness) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (right hamstring injury management) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (right Achilles tendinitis) is OUT.

Suns

• Grayson Allen (left hamstring soreness) is OUT.
• Devin Booker (right ankle injury management) is OUT.
• Dillon Brooks (left 2nd metacarpal injury management) is OUT.
• Collin Gillespie (right shoulder contusion) is OUT.
• Jordan Goodwin (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Jalen Green (right knee soreness) is OUT.
• Haywood Highsmith (right knee injury management) is AVAILABLE.
• Royce O’Neale (left knee injury management) is OUT.
• Mark Williams (left foot injury management) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-4.5)

In a battle of “who’s even available?”, OKC looks pretty good on paper. The Suns have a handful of starters questionable, but Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks are out, removing their best overall player and their best defender. OKC is resting the same guys as Friday night against the Denver Nuggets, and even though that group didn’t look great against a limited Nuggets squad, I see them performing better at home. I’m taking the Thunder to cover in the regular season finale, even though it doesn’t count for much.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (212.5)

Neither of these teams is going to put a high-quality offense on the court tonight. Both teams will have quality scorers, sure, but the standard of production is not going to be what it normally is. With that being said, I still think enough shots will go in to push the point total over this very low line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	64-16	35-45	33-47
Zack	66-15	41-40	39-42
Craig	64-16	30-49-1	31-49