Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Total: 219.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Spurs |
| 44-46 (48%) | All | 54-39-1 (58%) |
| 22-24 (47%) at home | Location | 28-20 (58%) on the road |
| 41-44 (48%) as favorite | Status | 14-6 (70%) as underdog |
| 21-24 (46%) as home favorite | Location Status | 11-6 (64%) as road underdog |
| 1-4 (20%) | Head To Head | 4-1 (80%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 51-39 (56%) against the over on the season.
- San Antonio is 42-51-1 (45%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 24-22 (52%) against the over at home.
- The Spurs are 22-25-1 (46%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats (Playoffs)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 116.9 | 102.4 | 49.0 | 38.4 | 47.5 | 25.3 | 14.6 | 8.4 | 8.2 | W2 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 121.3 | 104.7 | 51.0 | 38.4 | 41.1 | 25.9 | 11.9 | 10.3 | 4.8 | W8 | 8-0 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
Spurs
- De’Aaron Fox (right ankle soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Luke Kornet (left foot soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)
The Oklahoma City Thunder are not just reasonably favored in Game 1 against the San Antonio Spurs but also the series. OKC is coming off a week of rest, while San Antonio just finished out their second round series with the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday night. The Thunder enters this round at full strength, while the Spurs have a couple of question marks on the injury report. Everybody wants to talk about the regular-season series, but those games are not a true indicator of this matchup. What truly matters is that the Thunder has played at another level of focus and energy over the last month, and I don’t see that dipping against the Spurs. Give me OKC to cover tonight.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (219.5)
While both the Thunder and the Spurs have formidable offenses, they are easily argued as the top two defenses in the NBA. I think points will be hard to come by, and even if both teams shoot at a high percentage, possession will be long and grueling, keeping the score low. I’m comfortably taking the under on this point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 72-17 | 39-50 | 36-53 |
| Zack | 74-16 | 47-43 | 45-45 |
| Craig | 72-17 | 33-55-1 | 36-53 |