Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
Total: 216.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Spurs |
| 44-47 (48%) | All | 55-39-1 (58%) |
| 22-25 (46%) at home | Location | 29-20 (59%) on the road |
| 41-45 (47%) as favorite | Status | 15-6 (71%) as underdog |
| 21-25 (45%) as home favorite | Location Status | 12-6 (67%) as road underdog |
| 1-5 (16%) | Head To Head | 5-1 (83%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 52-39 (57%) against the over on the season.
- San Antonio is 43-51-1 (45%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 25-22 (53%) against the over at home.
- The Spurs are 23-25-1 (47%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats (Playoffs)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 117.3 | 103.5 | 48.5 | 37.5 | 48.7 | 25.3 | 15.3 | 8.6 | 8.1 | W3 | 8-2 |
| OKC | 120.6 | 106.6 | 49.7 | 38.3 | 41.0 | 25.8 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 5.1 | L1 | 8-1 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
Spurs
- De’Aaron Fox (right ankle soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)
Same spread, different game. As good as Game 1 was for basketball fans in general, the Thunder didn’t play all that well outside of Alex Caruso popping off for a career playoff-high of 31 points, just 1 point shy of tying his career-high. Jalen Williams was solid in his return to action after missing nearly a month, but Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a pretty rough game, and Chet was generally bad after having a great run in the playoffs so far. Victory Wembanyama was an animal in Game 1, and the Spurs are definitely the Thunder’s best competition in the league, but OKC has lost back-to-back games just 5 times this season, and just once in back-to-back home games. I anticipate a bounce back for OKC, resulting in a solid cover.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (219.5)
Game 1 wasn’t even close to hitting the over in regulation, but double overtime changed that. Unless we see another game go into extended time, I see another defensive battle taking place. I’m feeling safe about taking the under on the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 72-18 | 40-50 | 36-54 |
| Zack | 74-17 | 47-44 | 45-46 |
| Craig | 72-18 | 33-56-1 | 36-54 |