Thunder Against the Spread | West Coast Road Trip Continues as Thunder Favored Over Clippers

Tip-Off: 9:30 PM CT

Location: Intuit Dome (Los Angeles, California)

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Total: 222.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Clippers
7-5 (63%)	All	5-5 (50%)
3-4 (50%) on the road	Location	3-2 (60%) at home
6-3 (66%)%) as the favorite	Status	4-4 (50%) as underdog
2-2 (50%) as road favorite	Location Status	2-1 (66%) as home underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head-to-Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 4-8 (33%) against the over for the season.
• Los Angeles is 6-4 (60%) against the over for the season.
• The Thunder are 2-5 (28%) against the over on the road.
• The Clippers are 2-3 (40%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	111.1	106.9	45.3	34.6	46.8	22.5	13.3	7.9	5.5	L2	6-4
LAC	112.2	118.1	45.9	38.1	40.5	26.7	18.5	9.9	4.0	L1	2-8

Injury Report

Thunder

• Chet Holmgren (right knee patellar tendinitis) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Thomas Sorber (right knee surgery) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (left shoulder labral tear) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (left ankle fracture) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (lower back spasms) is OUT.

Clippers

• Bradley Beal (knee injury management) is OUT.
• Brandon Ingram (right heel surgery) is OUT.
• Nick Martinelli (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Jordan Miller (left rotator cuff surgery) is OUT.
• Yanic Konan Niederhauser (right lisfranc surgery) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)

The Thunder struggled in their back-to-back in Portland with the Blazers, and this might be just the matchup to get them back on the winning track. The Clippers have lost 8 of their last 9 games, and all but one of those losses were by at least 7 points. Four of them were by at least 12 points. Even with all of OKC’s injuries, the roster is better than LA’s, and that alone should give confidence in winning the game. Even more so, though, Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace went down with injury in the previous matchup between these teams in OKC, so that makes me feel like the Thunder will be playing with a little extra juice. I think Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a monster game, and OKC’s bigs end up dominating in the paint, leading to a big win.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (222.5)

The Clippers are a solid three-point shooting team, which was a key component in the Thunder’s losses in Portland. OKC needs to limit that, but LA is sure to hit some shots. At the same time, the Clippers turn the ball over at the 2nd-highest rate in the NBA, which is good news for the Thunder. I see OKC getting back to some of the basics of controlling the chaos on defense, which should lead to some transition buckets, or at the least, some points off turnovers. As a result, I like the point total pushing higher than the given line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	7-5	4-8	6-6
Zack	8-4	6-6	7-5
Craig	7-5	5-7	6-6