Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | Looks Like A Good Night To Take The Under Against Utah

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 8:00 PM CT

Location: Vivint Smart Home Arena (Salt Lake City, Utah)

Spread: Jazz (-16.5)

Total: 223

Thunder/Jazz Trends Against The Spread

ThunderJazz
All
25-28 (47%)33-20-1 (62%)
Location
15-10 (60%) on the road20-6-1 (76%) at home
Status
23-28 (45%) as an underdog or pick31-20-1 (60%) as a favorite
Location Status
14-10 (58%) as a road dog19-6-1 (76%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Thunder/Jazz Trends Against The Total

OKC is 26-26-1 against the over this season.

Utah is 26-27-1 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 37% of the time on the road.

The Jazz are hitting the over 48% of the time at home.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
OKC105.4112.044.644.922.54.66.8L61-9
UTAH117.2108.046.748.323.45.46.4L17-3

Key Players

While Donovan Mitchell is lading the Jazz with 26.6 points per game, Rudy Gobert is hauling in 13.4 rebounds. In the first meeting this season they were both below those averages with Mitchell producing 20 points and Gobert 10 boards. It was small forward Bojan Bogdanovic leading the Jazz to a 1-point victory with 23 points on 8-of-17 shooting.

Lu Dort scored 26 points, on 9-of-11 shooting, against the Jazz on December 28th. On the season he’s averaging 12.6 points per game. With the growing list of inactive or injured players for the Thunder hell be a key focal point on the floor tonight.

Series History

Game 1 | Utah 110 – OKC 109

Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+16.5)

At this point there honestly isn’t a spread big enough that I would feel comfortable picking the Thunder to cover. The current streak is six consecutive losses against the spread and ten of the last eleven. Included in those are seven losses by 17 or more points.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (223.5)

Neither team is doing well against the over this season. OKC is right at 50% and Utah 49%. More specifically to this situation, the Thunder are only hitting the over 45% following a day off and the Jazz are doing so 40% on the second night of a back-to-back.

On the road OKC is hitting the over just 37% of the time while Utah is hitting is 48% of the time at home.

On The Season

I’m 3-1 over the last four picks so I’ve got that going for me.

Against the Spread: 11-15 Last Pick: Philadelphia (-10 ) at OKC

Over/Under: 14-12 Last Pick: OKC/Philadelphia (217)

You can follow all of my NBA picks here.

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