Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | Dort On The Shelf Means Take The Warriors

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 8:00 PM CT

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Warriors (-10.5)

Total: 224.5

Warriors/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

WarriorsThunder
All
25-29 (46%)26-28 (48%)
Location
9-18 (33%) on the road10-18 (35%) at home
Status
13-8 (61%) as a favorite24-28 (46%) as an underdog or pick
Location Status
4-4 (50%) as a road favorite9-18 (33%) as a home underdog
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Warriors/Thunder Trends Against The Total

OKC is 26-27-1 against the over this season.

Golden State is 23-31 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 60% of the time at home.

The Warriors are hitting the over 37% of the time on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
 GS112.3113.046.342.527.24.88.2W24-6
 OKC105.2112.044.545.022.44.56.8L71-9

Key Players

Anytime you’re playing the Warriors Steph Curry steps in the spotlight as a player to watch. The future Hall of Famer is averaging 30.4 points per game this season and just became the all-time leading scorer in franchise history. That said, it’s Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green who I believe have the best matchup for Golden State tonight.

Lu Dort played too well on Tuesday evening and earned himself an injury designation for this evening. That said, I already liked the matchup for small forward Kenrich Williams. He’s only averaging 7.4 points per game this season but I would look for him to at least double that tonight.

Series History

First meeting of the season.

Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+10.5)

This is a pretty easy pick in my opinion. Dort is on the bench next to SGA, Poku, and Mike Muscala. This won’t be the same team that played in Salt Lake City last night just by the removal of Dort.

OKC is only covering the spread 41% of the time on the second night of a back-to-back and Golden State is covering 61% of the time this season when they’ve been favored. To add to it, when the Warriors are favored between 9.5 and 12.5 they are 2-0 against the spread this season.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Will Hit The Over (224.5)

Golden State has a lot of offensive firepower but pretty much all of Oklahoma City’s scoring will be on the bench tonight. Season trends would indicate this game was already heading towards the under but now I would be even more confident in it.

When facing a total greater than 205 points this season Golden State only hits the over 42% of the time and Oklahoma City is doing so at 49% of the time. Following a day off the Warriors are hitting the over just 42% of the time this season.

On The Season

We’re still coming around to figuring this team out and the revolving door of players moving to and from the bench. I hit the under last night against Utah but missed on the spread pick.

Against the Spread: 10-16 Last Pick: Utah (-16.5 ) vs OKC

Over/Under: 15-11 Last Pick: OKC/Utah under (223)

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