Tip-Off: 9:00 PM CT
Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)
Thunder/Warriors Trends Against The Spread
|31-36 (46%)||32-35 (47%)|
|19-14 (57%) on the road||18-13 (58%) at home|
|29-36 (44%) as an underdog or pick||17-12 (58%) as a favorite|
|18-14 (56%) as a road underdog||10-6 (62%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|0-2 (0%)||2-0 (100%)|
Thunder/Warriors Trends Against The Total
OKC is 32-34-1 against the over this season.
Golden State is 27-40 against the over this season.
The Thunder are hitting the over 34% of the time on the road.
The Warriors are hitting the over 45% of the time at home.
It’s hard to look past Steph Curry in this game. He’s been spectacular against Oklahoma City this season, going off for 34 points on Thursday night and averaging 38 points per game against the Thunder in two games this season. Shooting guard Mychal Mulder came off the bench to score 25 points against OKC on Thursday evening, making him the second highest scorer on the Warriors roster that night.
Darius Bazley was solid against the Warriors on Thursday night, scoring 22 points, but it was Ty Jerome who led the Thunder in scoring, from the bench, with 23 points. Bazley also scored 22 in the first meeting this season between the two making him the guy to watch for OKC tonight.
Game 1 | Golden State 147 – Oklahoma City 109
Game 2 | Golden State 118 – Oklahoma City 97
Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+14.5)
The proof is in the results already. Oklahoma City has failed to keep it close in two games against Golden State this season. Unless the Warriors decide to rest the entire roster there should be no reason to believe the Thunder can keep it close again tonight.
The NBA odds at Sports Betting Dime have the Warriors as 14.5-point favorites and I honestly can’t believe that it isn’t higher. This appears to be a game in which Golden State names its score.
Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (223.5)
While the Warriors can pretty much name their score I’m not sold on Oklahoma City having a fantastic offensive night. That said, Golden State is averaging 132.5 points per game against the Thunder this season which means OKC only needs to score 100 points in this game in order to hit the over. Thursday night they only scored 97 though. I like this as an under pick.
On The Season
My travel schedule prevented me from posting on Thursday night’s game which make my terrible picks on the Sacramento game my last time to post.
Against the Spread: 16-21 Last Pick: Sacramento (-4.5) vs. OKC
Over/Under: 20-17 Last Pick: Sacramento/OKC over (227.5)
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