Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | Can OKC Keep It Close Against The Warriors This Time Around?

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 9:00 PM CT

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)

Spread: Warriors (-14.5)

Total: 223.5

Thunder/Warriors Trends Against The Spread

ThunderWarriors
All
31-36 (46%)32-35 (47%)
Location
19-14 (57%) on the road18-13 (58%) at home
Status
29-36 (44%) as an underdog or pick17-12 (58%) as a favorite
Location Status
18-14 (56%) as a road underdog10-6 (62%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)

Thunder/Warriors Trends Against The Total

OKC is 32-34-1 against the over this season.

Golden State is 27-40 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 34% of the time on the road.

The Warriors are hitting the over 45% of the time at home.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
OKC105.2112.044.145.722.24.47.0L51-9
GS113.0113.046.643.027.64.98.3W16-4   

Key Players

It’s hard to look past Steph Curry in this game. He’s been spectacular against Oklahoma City this season, going off for 34 points on Thursday night and averaging 38 points per game against the Thunder in two games this season. Shooting guard Mychal Mulder came off the bench to score 25 points against OKC on Thursday evening, making him the second highest scorer on the Warriors roster that night.

Darius Bazley was solid against the Warriors on Thursday night, scoring 22 points, but it was Ty Jerome who led the Thunder in scoring, from the bench, with 23 points. Bazley also scored 22 in the first meeting this season between the two making him the guy to watch for OKC tonight. 

Series History

Game 1 | Golden State 147 – Oklahoma City 109 

Game 2 | Golden State 118 – Oklahoma City 97

Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+14.5)

The proof is in the results already. Oklahoma City has failed to keep it close in two games against Golden State this season. Unless the Warriors decide to rest the entire roster there should be no reason to believe the Thunder can keep it close again tonight.

The NBA odds at Sports Betting Dime have the Warriors as 14.5-point favorites and I honestly can’t believe that it isn’t higher. This appears to be a game in which Golden State names its score. 

Staff Picks

Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (223.5)

While the Warriors can pretty much name their score I’m not sold on Oklahoma City having a fantastic offensive night. That said, Golden State is averaging 132.5 points per game against the Thunder this season which means OKC only needs to score 100 points in this game in order to hit the over. Thursday night they only scored 97 though. I like this as an under pick. 

On The Season

My travel schedule prevented me from posting on Thursday night’s game which make my terrible picks on the Sacramento game my last time to post. 

Against the Spread: 16-21 Last Pick: Sacramento (-4.5) vs. OKC

Over/Under: 20-17 Last Pick: Sacramento/OKC over (227.5)

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