Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Utah (-13)
Jazz/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|10-7 (58%)||11-6 (64%)|
|5-3 (62%) on the road||5-3 (62%) at home|
|10-6 (62%) as a favorite||10-6 (62%) as an underdog|
|5-2 as a road favorite (71%)||4-3 (57%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|1-0 (100%)||0-1 (0%)|
Jazz/Thunder Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over just 29% of the time this season.
The Jazz are hitting the over 41% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 3-5 against the over at home.
Utah is 2-6 against the over on the road.
The trio of Donovan Mitchell, Mike Conley, and Rudy Gobert has guided the Jazz to the top spot in the Northwest Division standings. Mitchell is averaging 24 points per game while Conley dishes out an average of 5.6 assists per game. Rudy Gobert is shooting 73.3% from the the floor and pulling down a 14.9 boards. With an average of 15.7 points, Gobert is pretty much a lock for a double-double each night. In Utah’s previous meeting with OKC Gobert scored 16 points and pulled down 21 rebounds.
The Thunder are likely to be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander again tonight. That removes a 20-point player from the floor and puts the burden on his teammates to make up the void. Lu Dort is as good an option as they come for leading this team in SGA’s absence. He’s averaging 16.5 points per game this season, and shooting 42.9% from the floor, but was held to just seven against Utah in the previous meeting. The Thunder are going to need him to look more like the guy who is averaging 19 points a game over the last five as opposed to the on who managed just seven against Utah last month.
Rookie Josh Giddy is averaging 5.7 assists per game.
Game 1 | Utah 107 – OKC 86
Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+13)
The Thunder are definitely going to miss SGA but the weren’t really competitive against the Jazz even with him on the floor the first time these two teams met up. Granted OKC, is playing much better now than they were a month ago but Utah’s stifling defense is likely to result in this game getting away from the Thunder in the second half. The Jazz are covering the spread 71% of the time as a road favorite this season and that looks to be a trend that will continue tonight.
Why The Game Will Hit The Over (209.5)
This is where things get interesting and kind of fun. Oklahoma City has hit the over two times in a row and Utah has cleared it three consecutive times coming into tonight’s game. Yet the season stats would trend towards the under (Utah hits the over 25% of the time on the road and OKC hits it 37% of the time at home) which is why the point total for this game is lower than it’s been all season for the Jazz. I’m not saying that the point total gets crushed with the over tonight but I definitely believe that it surpasses 210.
On The Season
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