Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Houston (-3)
Rockets/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|9-10-1 (47%) Overall||13-7 (65%) Overall|
|5-5-1 (50%) on the road||7-3 (70%) at home|
|7-9-1 (43%) as an underdog||1-0 (100%) as a favorite|
|5-5-1 (50%) as a road underdog||1-0 (100%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|2-1 (66%)||1-2 (33%)|
Rockets/Thunder Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over 3o% of the time this season.
The Rockets are hitting the over 36% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 4-6 against the over at home.
Houston is 4-6-1 against the over on the road.
Houston center Christian Wood improved his averages against Oklahoma City on Monday night when he scored 24 points and pulled down 21 rebounds. In three games against the Thunder this season he’s averaging 20.5 points, while shooting 43.8% from three-point range and 50% from the floor. On the season he’s averaging 16.8 points 11.8 rebounds per game. Shooting guard Kevin Porter, Jr. is dishing out 6.1 assists per game and small forward Jae’Sean Tate is shooting 48.9% from the floor.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 22 points in a losing effort against the Rockets on Monday night. It was his first game back from an ankle injury and that should provide a spark of hope to OKC fans seeing as how SGA is only averaging 16.7 points per game against Houston this season. He’ll need to have another big night back at home tonight for the Thunder to have a chance in this one.
Lu Dort is shooting 42.7% from the floor for OKC and rookie Josh Giddy is dishing out 5.8 assists per game.
Game 1 | Houston 124 – OKC 91
Game 2 | OKC 101 – Houston 89
Game 3 | Houston 102 – OKC 89
Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (-3)
I’m certainly expecting this one to be much closer than it was on Monday night but at the end of the day it’s hard to see a team as a 3-point underdog against a team they just beat by 13 points two days ago. To put this in perspective a bit, Oklahoma City was only a 2-point dog on Monday night and after losing by double digits they’re coming back home as a 3-point favorite? I’m not certain how that works.
I think the Rockets are in a better place offensively than they were two weeks ago when they only scored 89 points in their last visit to Oklahoma City. That said, I think the Thunder will shoot much better from the perimeter than they did on Monday and that’s what will keep this one close. At the end of the day though, the Rockets will walk off the court with a narrow win and that means they’ll also cover the points.
Why The Game Will Hit The Over (213.5)
There aren’t a lot of trends that point towards the over on this game but I like it. I think the line is a bit lower because of how poorly the Thunder shot from 3-point range on Monday night and that’s something that we can take advantage of. OKC is 1-0 against the over when the total is between 210-213 points, and this series is due to have a game hit the over after going 0-3 in the first three attempts this season. Put me down for this game hitting one of the most unsuspecting overs of the season tonight.
On The Season
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