Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)
Bulls/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|26-19 (57%) Overall||29-16-1 (64%)|
|12-11 (52%) on the road||14-7-1 (66%) at home|
|18-12 (60%) as a favorite||28-15-1 (65%) as an underdog or pick|
|7-5 (58%) as road favorite||13-6-1 (68%) as a home underdog or pick|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Bulls/Thunder Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 39% of the time this season.
- The Bulls are hitting the over 52% of the time this season.
- Chicago is 11-12 against the over on the road.
- The Thunder are 9-13 against the over at home.
This is the first meeting of the season between the Thunder and Bulls.
Why the Thunder Won’t Cover (+1.5)
What’s your confidence level in the Thunder right now? Mine isn’t very high and to pick OKC to cover as less than a 2-point dog is practically picking them to win. I do think that this will be a close game but I’m certainly not in the position to where I feel comfortable picking Oklahoma City to end its current five game losing streak.
Both teams have strong records against the spread in this situation and both are coming into the game with a certain amount of struggles. The Bulls are just 3-7 in the last ten games while OKC is 1-9. There really not a lot of confidence for either side but the narrow point spread certainly favors the Bulls in this situation.
That said, the over/under is once again where you’d want to look again tonight.
Why the Game Won’t Hit the Over (217)
Oklahoma City’s ineptness on offense continues to cost them games. At this point of the season you have to figure that this is just the identity of the team and that it’s not going to change. The Thunder are only hitting the over 40% of the time at home this season and Chicago is doing so just 47% of the time on the road. There’s enough right there to make you think about the under.
Our model has this game around 211-212 total points which reinforces the under. When the point total is greater than 205 the OKC only hits the over 37% of the time. When playing after a day off the Thunder are 14-25 (35%) against the over. If you’re wanting to make a pick on tonight’s game then this is where you want to be.
On the Season
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