Tonight, the Thunder is back in OKC as they host the Chicago Bulls. The roster is mostly healthy, but Chet Holmgren was just announced as sitting due to a hip contusion. The Bulls aren’t exactly a difficult opponent, so the Thunder is likely taking advantage and offering Holmgren some rest to heal up and be good to go for a much tougher schedule coming up.
OKC being back at home is a nice change of pace after 5 straight road games on the East Coast, but this spread is huge, even for playing the Bulls. While I do think the Thunder wins easily, I would not be in the least surprised if Mark Daigneault goes deep into his bench early, experimenting with different lineups now that the whole team is healthy. As a result, I can see Chicago covering the spread, maybe late, but covering nonetheless.
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After missing 9 games with a strained abdominal injury, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made his return to action last Friday night. After playing just two games, he’ll sit out on Tuesday night—along with Isaiah Hartenstein—as the Oklahoma City Thunder takes on the Bulls in Chicago in the first game of a back-to-back. SGA and IHart are sitting due to injury management, though, so there is no cause for concern. Instead, OKC is continuing to manage injuries and monitor the health of the squad down this final stretch of the NBA season.
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This line is several points closer than it would be under normal circumstances, but with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Isaiah Hartenstein sitting out on the first night of a back-to-back, it makes sense. Even without those guys out—and Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell still awaiting return—I’m a big fan of the Thunder covering this one. Chicago finally ended their 11-game losing streak on Sunday, but the Bulls have been blown out plenty in the last month, and I expect that to happen again tonight.
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This is a tough spread to pick due to a lot of questions surrounding the injury report. Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jaylin Williams are all questionable with various hip issues, but I would expect at least 2 of the 3 to be available tonight. Even if they can’t go, though, OKC’s small ball looked pretty dang good in the second half against the Pacers on Saturday. I’m thinking that the Thunder will open this game up in the third quarter before Chicago manages to fight back late to just barely cover the spread.
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I managed to lock in the Bulls at +10.5, but either way, I think Chicago keeps this to a single-digit spread. OKC is clearly the better team in the matchup, but the Bulls defeated the Bucks by double digits just last night. Still, the Thunder have fresh legs, while Chicago is playing in the second game of a back-to-back. Take it all into consideration, and I anticipate a game that will likely hover around the spread until closing a little closer in the final minutes.
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