Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT
Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, Texas)
Spread: Thunder (-12)
Thunder/Mavericks Trends Against The Spread
|31-17-1 (64%) Overall||25-25-1 (50%)|
|15-9 (62%) on the road||11-13-1 (45%) at home|
|30-16-1 (65%) as an underdog or pick||16-12-1 (57%) as a favorite|
|15-9 (62%) as road underdog||9-7-1 (56%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|2-1 (67%)||1-2 (33%)|
Thunder/Mavericks Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 40% of the time this season.
- The Mavericks are hitting the over 36% of the time this season.
- Dallas is 18-31-2 against the over at home.
- The Thunder is 9-15 against the over on the road.
This is the final meeting between the Thunder and the Mavericks this season. Dallas has won all 3 contests so far.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+12)
I’m rarely a fan of a double-digit spread, particularly with this Thunder squad that has consistently competed night in and night out. Yes, they set a record for the worst loss in NBA history, and yes, they’ve been blown out a few times, but they’ve competed well against Dallas, and 12 points seems about twice as much as it should be.
OKC is 7-3 when the spread is +10.5 to +13.5, and they have performed well when coming off a day of rest, as well as when playing against teams with a winning record. With SGA missing, I’m a little concerned about who will step up to fill the scoring void, but I still believe in the Thunder’s defense enough to keep this one interesting.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (205.5)
OKC isn’t much of a scoring team, which is no secret. Dallas doesn’t put up a ton of points either, and both squads play above average defense. Still, 205.5 is one of the smaller point totals we’ve seen all season, and I’m thinking these teams can beat that tonight.
On the Season
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