Thunder Against the Spread | Take the Thunder in Dallas

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, Texas)

Spread: Thunder (-12)

Total: 205.5

31-17-1 (64%) Overall25-25-1 (50%)
15-9 (62%) on the road11-13-1 (45%) at home
30-16-1 (65%) as an underdog or pick16-12-1 (57%) as a favorite
Location Status
15-9 (62%) as road underdog9-7-1 (56%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
2-1 (67%)1-2 (33%)
  • OKC is hitting the over 40% of the time this season.
  • The Mavericks are hitting the over 36% of the time this season.
  • Dallas is 18-31-2 against the over at home.
  • The Thunder is 9-15 against the over on the road.

Team Stats


Series History

This is the final meeting between the Thunder and the Mavericks this season. Dallas has won all 3 contests so far.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+12)

I’m rarely a fan of a double-digit spread, particularly with this Thunder squad that has consistently competed night in and night out. Yes, they set a record for the worst loss in NBA history, and yes, they’ve been blown out a few times, but they’ve competed well against Dallas, and 12 points seems about twice as much as it should be.

OKC is 7-3 when the spread is +10.5 to +13.5, and they have performed well when coming off a day of rest, as well as when playing against teams with a winning record. With SGA missing, I’m a little concerned about who will step up to fill the scoring void, but I still believe in the Thunder’s defense enough to keep this one interesting.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (205.5)

OKC isn’t much of a scoring team, which is no secret. Dallas doesn’t put up a ton of points either, and both squads play above average defense. Still, 205.5 is one of the smaller point totals we’ve seen all season, and I’m thinking these teams can beat that tonight.

On the Season


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