Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Kings (-5.0)
Suns/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|28-34 (45%)||37-20-3 (64%)|
|12-17 (63%) on the road||16-10-3 (61%) at home|
|9-10 (47%) as favorite||36-19-3 (65%) as underdog|
|3-4 (42%) as road favorite||15-9-3 (62%) as home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|2-1 (66%)||1-2 (33%)|
Thunder/Kings Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 45% of the time this season.
- The Kings are hitting the over 52% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 14-15 against the over at home.
- Sacramento is 16-12-1 against the over on the road.
The Thunder and the Kings have played three times so far this season. The home team has won every time so far.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+5.0)
The Kings rank in the bottom 10 in the league at covering the spread, while the Thunder is in second, right behind the Memphis Grizzlies. Sacramento looks different from the first three meetings with the Thunder thanks to a trade that sent Tyrese Haliburton to Indiana and brought in Domantas Sabonis. While I think that Sabonis is the key to the Kings being successful tonight, I do think that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the best player on the court, which gives OKC a good shot at not just covering but winning the game outright.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (227)
I differ from my colleagues in taking the over for this matchup, and I can’t blame Matt and Craig for taking the under, but with the way the scoring bursts have been trending, I think both teams are likely to light it up tonight. Sacramento hits the over more often than not, and OKC has hit the over more often than not as of late, so I wouldn’t be shocked to see a high-scoring affair tonight.
On the Season