Thunder Against the Spread | Don’t Expect OKC to Cover Against the Bucks (Pt. 2)

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Bucks (-5.5)

Total: 217.5

Trends Against The Spread

Bucks@Thunder
All
8-2 (80%)6-4 (60%)
Location
2-1 (66%) on the road3-2 (60%) at home
Status
7-2 (77%) as favorite5-3 (62%) as underdog or pick
Location Status
1-1 (50%) as road favorite2-2 (50%) as home underdog
Head To Head
1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 50% of the time this season.
  • The Bucks have hit the over 30% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 3-2 against the over at home this season.
  • Milwaukee is 0-3 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
MIL111.4102.744.950.723.86.87.5L19-1
OKC109.7111.844.144.923.86.19.1L34-6

Series History

The Thunder is 0-1 against the Bucks so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-5.5)

OKC started off the season strong, covering the spread in 6 of the first 7 games, but they’ve failed to cover the last three outings, and I don’t expect that to change tonight. The Thunder is still a solid squad that can compete night in and night out, but the Milwaukee Bucks are another animal, even when dealing with injuries. Milwaukee should be able to win by 6 as long as Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (217.5)

This is a tough one. In the first matchup a few days ago, the Thunder and Bucks combined for just 202 points. I think tonight will be a slightly different story, though. It’ll be close, but I feel comfortable taking the over.

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt4-66-44-6
Zack5-58-24-6
Craig6-24-44-4

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