Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
Spread: Wolves (-5)
Trends Against The Spread
|13-9 (59%)||8-14 (36%)|
|7-4 (63%) on the road||4-8 (33%) at home|
|11-5 (68%) as underdog or pick||6-9 (40%) as favorite|
|7-2 (77%) as road underdog||3-6 (33%) as home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-1 (50%)||1-1 (50%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 66% of the time this season.
- The Wolves have hit the over 40% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 6-4 against the over on the road this season.
- Minnesota is 5-7 against the over at home this season.
The Thunder is 0-2 against the Wolves so far this season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+6.5)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is questionable to play in Minnesota, which is likely why the spread moved from the Wolves by 5 to the Wolves by 6.5 Still, Minnesota is missing Karl Anthony-Towns, and I think OKC’s backcourt is good enough to keep them in this game, whether SGA plays or not. I expect a close one.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (232)
Both of these teams can put up points, and neither team is particularly great on defense. The Thunder could be without their best scorer in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and the Wolves are already without theirs in Karl Anthony-Towns. Still, I expect a lot of points, so I’m taking the over on the point total.
On the Season