Thunder Against the Spread | Can OKC Cover (And Beat) the Warriors?

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Warriors (-4.5)

Total: 242.5

Trends Against The Spread

39-24-1 (61%)31-33-1 (48%)
20-14 (58%) at home9-22 (29%) on the road
28-14-1 (66%) as underdog or pick21-21-1 (50%) as favorite
Location Status
9-8 (52%) as home underdog4-10 (28%) as road favorite
Head To Head
0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)
  • OKC has hit the over 57% of the time this season.
  • The Warriors have hit the over 55% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 21-12-1 against the over at home this season.
  • Golden State is 22-8-1 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats


Series History

The Thunder is 0-2 against the Warriors so far this season (0-1 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+4.5)

I’m not even going to lie: I’m taking the Thunder to win because I want them to win the game, not because I’m convinced they will. I definitely think OKC has what it takes to get the win, especially if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has another big game like he did on Sunday and the supporting cast performs well. Jalen Williams is questionable to play due to a sprained wrist, so that is a bit worrisome. Draymond Green is probable to play, but if he ends up sitting, the Warriors will be missing a key role on both ends of the floor. As of now, I’m sticking with the Thunder to cover and win.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (242.5)

This point total is one of the higher ones of the Thunder’s season so far. Both OKC and Golden State rank in the top 5 in scoring, so it makes sense that they’re expected to score a lot tonight. Both meetings so far this season have well exceeded tonight’s point total, so it wouldn’t surprise me if this matchup cleared it with ease. I’m taking the over.

On the Season


Staff Picks

Leave a Reply