Our terrible streak continued into this week. We went 1-2 on our picks for the Nationals and Blue Jays on Monday, putting us in a small hole to start the week once again. Today we’re taking a look at Cleveland (62-70) vs. Minnesota (69-63), and to be honest there are zero confidence points going into these picks.
Minnesota’s Pablo López (9-6, 3.69 ERA) is coming off a 5-inning performance against Texas when he surrendered five earned runs. Even with that, he’s only allowing an average of 1.2 earned runs per game, over his last five, and has four wins during that span.
Cleveland’s Gavin Williams (1-5, 3.52 ERA) hasn’t picked up a win since July 8th. He’s allowing an average of 2.2 earned runs per game, over his last five, and like López he’s coming off a performance where he surrendered five earned runs.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor are leading the offensive charge for the Guardians. Ramirez has hit a team best 21 home runs and leads the way in batting average (.277), while Naylor leads the team in RBIs (79). Cleveland has scored 24 runs over the last five games.
Minnesota’s home run leader in Max Kepler, who has blasted 21 home runs this season. Carlos Correa is pacing the Twins with a .226 batting average and 57 RBI. The Twins have scored 38 runs over the last five games.
The Guardians have lost three of their last five games, including a 10-6 decision to open the series with Minnesota on Monday. The Twins have won two in a row and four of their last five games.
Twins -180 on the moneyline
Here we go again! I like the Guardians at +1.5, and then Minnesota on the moneyline. The Twins are heavy favorites so we’re going to have to pay the juice on that, but it’s the right call. My best bet for this game is to take the over. Minnesota’s offensive has been hot as of late, and both pitchers are coming off bad outings. We’re getting -110 on the over, which is why that’s our best bet.
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