Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Double-Digit Favorite at Home Against Grizzlies

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

Total: 229.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Grizzlies
16-7-1 (69%)All9-15 (37%)
8-4 (67%) at homeLocation6-6 (50%) on the road
9-4 (69%) as favoriteStatus5-10 (33%) as underdog or pick
6-2 (75%) as home favoriteLocation Status3-4 (42%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (100%)
  • OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
  • Memphis has hit the over 41% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 7-4-1 against the over at home this season.
  • The Grizzlies are 6-6 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
MEM106.0112.343.533.242.023.814.57.66.4L43-7
OKC120.4113.649.038.641.125.313.08.56.3W16-4

Series History

This is the first meeting of the season between the Thunder and the Grizzlies. The Thunder went 2-2 against the Grizzlies last season (2-0 at home, 0-2 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-10.5)

The Grizzlies have struggled so far this season, largely due to Ja Morant’s suspension. With half of their losses coming by double digits, and OKC’s consistency to cover a spread, particularly as a home favorite, I see this one being a blowout. Hopefully the Thunder’s end of bench can hold onto a strong lead late in the game to cover the spread, though. If OKC has done one thing well this season, it’s taking care of the opponents that are below .500.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229.5)

The Grizzlies have the worst offense in the NBA, and they actually do a decent job on the defensive side, which makes sense considering that has been their calling card for a while. Still, OKC’s offense is too potent, and while I don’t think Memphis puts up a ton of points, I do think Jared Jackson Jr. could do well against the Thunder’s undersized front court, so I’m taking the over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt13-1115-8-16-18
Zack17-714-9-114-10
Craig14-59-9-15-14

Leave a Reply