Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Giant Favorite at Home Against Hornets

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 225

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Hornets
30-17-1 (63%)All15-29-2 (34%)
16-8 (66%) at homeLocation8-15 (34%) on the road
20-12 (62%) as favoriteStatus15-25-2 (37%) as underdog or pick
13-6 (68%) as home favoriteLocation Status8-15 (34%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 53% of the time this season.
  • Charlotte has hit the over 52% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 12-11-1 against the over at home this season.
  • The Hornets are 12-11 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
CHA108.6120.345.935.941.125.013.86.55.0L52-8
OKC120.4112.650.138.941.427.012.58.26.5W16-4

Series History

The Thunder is 0-0 against the Hornets so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-15.5)

I’m really not a fan of these double-digit spreads. I have a tendency to take the underdog just because even the worst teams in the league tend to put together single-digit losses far more often than double-digit ones. That’s not the the case, with the Hornets, however, as their average margin is a league-worst -11.7. Only a third of Charlotte’s losses have been by double digits, and a whopping 14 of their 36 defeats have been by at least 16 points. Even with Jalen Williams (sprained right ankle) and Isaiah Joe (sternum contusion) out, I’m feeling like OKC is going to perform well in front of the home crowd.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (225)

I’m expecting a pretty big blowout win for the Thunder, but even still, I see Charlotte getting to at least 100 points. I’m going to cautiously take the over on the point total just because I think OKC scores easily and often.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt24-2223-22-116-30
Zack33-1527-20-120-28
Craig28-1220-19-115-25

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