Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Over Mavs in Dallas

Tip-Off: 2 PM CT

Location: American Airlines Arena (Dallas, Texas)

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)

Total: 239

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Mavericks
31-19-1 (62%)	All	27-25 (51%)
14-10-1 (58%) on the road	Location	11-16 (40%) at home
21-14 (60%) as favorite	Status	9-14 (39%) as underdog or pick
7-7 (50%) as road favorite	Location Status	14-7 (36%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
• Dallas has hit the over 51% of the time this season.
• The Thunder are 14-11 against the over on the road this season.
• The Mavericks are 13-14 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	120.8	113.0	50.1	39.2	41.4	27.3	12.6	8.2	6.6	L1	7-3
DAL	118.3	118.1	47.6	37.4	41.5	25.4	12.3	6.6	4.3	W3	5-5

Series History

The Thunder is 1-0 against the Mavericks so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-2.5)

Despite playing on the road against a solid Western Conference foe, the Thunder is a small favorite in this matchup, probably because of the long injury list from Dallas. OKC is a full go aside from the recently acquired Gordon Hayward, while the Mavs are down Dereck Lively II (nasal fracture) and possibly Maxi Kleber (dislocation of small right toe; nasal fracture). Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are both probable, but still, OKC has far better depth, and that should help them pull out the win in Dallas.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (239)

Dallas is a pretty poor defensive team, especially if they’re missing they’re top two big, but Daniel Gafford and PJ Washington—recent additions due to a trade—could help upgrade that area for the Mavs. Still, I think both teams put up a decent amount of scoring and we see this one hit the over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	26-23	24-24-1	16-33
Zack	35-16	28-22-1	22-29
Craig	29-13	20-21-1	15-27