Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored At Home Against Clippers

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-1)

Total: 235.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Clippers
33-20-1 (62%)All29-24 (54%)
18-9 (66%) at homeLocation15-12 (55%) on the road
23-15 (60%) as favoriteStatus4-7 (36%) as underdog or pick
15-7 (68%) as home favoriteLocation Status2-5 (28%) as road underdog
1-1 (50%)Head To Head1-1 (50%)
  • OKC has hit the over 58% of the time this season.
  • LA has hit the over 43% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 15-11-1 against the over at home this season.
  • The Clippers are 12-15 against the over on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
LAC118.3112.749.439.543.026.012.98.05.2W17-3
OKC120.8113.650.039.341.127.312.58.26.7W26-4

Series History

The Thunder is 1-1 against the Clippers so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1)

In the two previous matchups this season, the home team has won each time, and I think that will be the case tonight. Both of these enter the other side of the All-Star Break entirely healthy and rested, so I expect a battle to the end where the home crowd will ultimately help push the Thunder over the edge for the victory.

Why the Game Will NOTHit the Over (235.5)

Both the Thunder and the Clippers are at their best when their defenses are locked in. Both squads are healthy and rested coming out of the break, they are in a tight-knit race atop the Western Conference standings, and only about a third of the season remains. I think everyone understands how important the outcome of this game is and what it could mean for the postseason. While I expect shots to fall, I do anticipate high-energy defense from both squads, and as a result, I see the point total being just a tick under the line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt27-2526-25-118-34
Zack37-1730-23-125-29
Craig31-1422-22-116-29

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