Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-5)
Total: 218.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Mavericks |
| 50-36-1 (58%) | All | 52-37 (58%) |
| 29-15 (65%) at home | Location | 29-16 (64%) on the road |
| 39-27 (59%) as favorite | Status | 15-17 (46%) as underdog or pick |
| 25-13 (65%) as home favorite | Location Status | 9-10 (47%) as home underdog |
| 3-2 (60%) | Head To Head | 2-3 (40%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 54% of the time this season.
- Dallas has hit the over 45% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 22-21-1 against the over at home this season.
- The Mavericks are 22-23 against the over on the road this season.
Team Stats (Playoffs only)
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 105.3 | 102.7 | 45.4 | 33.6 | 41.9 | 20.9 | 12.1 | 6.9 | 6.6 | L1 | 4-3 |
| OKC | 107.6 | 90.6 | 47.5 | 40.1 | 44.8 | 24.0 | 12.6 | 8.0 | 5.8 | W5 | 5-0 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- NONE
Mavericks
- Luka Doncic is PROBABLE (sprained right knee).
- Maxi Kleber is OUT (sprained right shoulder).
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper is OUT (sprained left ankle).
Series History
The Thunder went 3-1 against the Dallas Mavericks in the regular season series (2-0 at home, 1-1 on the road).
The Thunder are 1-0 against the Dallas Mavericks in the Western Conference Semifinals so far (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-5)
Do not let the result of Game 1 fool you: this series is not likely to be a blowout. The Mavericks have made it this far for a reason, and they are going to have made adjustments for this game, so expect a closer game. I do think OKC manages to cover the spread, but I think it’s just barely. It wouldn’t surprise me if the actual result come down to the last minute of the game, but I’m taking the Thunder to cover late.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (218.5)
OKC’s defense has been wildly successful through 5 playoff games so far with neither the Pelicans nor the Mavericks breaking triple digits. Dallas has a potent offense, and while they were somewhat off shooting the ball in Game 1, don’t be surprised if they rebound with a much better showing in Game 2. The Thunder are going to continue to move the ball well and find ways to get points on the board, so I’m expecting an over on the point total this time after missing it on Tuesday.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 51-33 | 44-39-1 | 34-48 |
| Zack | 62-25 | 47-39-1 | 40-47 |
| Craig | 52-19 | 37-33-1 | 30-40 |