Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Should Expect a Close One Against Rockets

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Total: 222.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Rockets
6-2 (75%)All5-3 (62%)
2-1 (66%) at homeLocation2-1 (66%) on the road
5-2 (71%) as favoriteStatus2-0 (100%) as underdog
2-1 (66%) as home favoriteLocation Status1-0 (100%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 3-5 (37%) against the over on the season.
  • Houston is 3-5 (37%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 1-2 (33%) against the over at home.
  • The Rockets are 0-3 (0%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
HOU113.8106.843.732.747.322.111.87.84.3W25-3
OKC114.499.445.735.445.325.812.813.47.3L17-1

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Adam Flagler (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (fractured left hand) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (left ACL surgery recovery) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
  • Kenrich Williams (right knee surgery) is OUT.

Rockets

  • Steven Adams (right knee injury recovery) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • N’Faly Dante (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Cam Whitemore (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
  • Nate Williams (G League — two-way) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder went against the Rockets last season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-8.5)

OKC and Houston are very similar in a lot of ways, but the Thunder is definitely a more advanced version. I feel like it’s a 50/50 shot that OKC wins by double-digits, but at the same time, it could be a very close game, and that’s what I’m leaning towards. 8.5 points seems like 4 points too many for me, so I’m going to take Houston to cover in a game where OKC will win by 4 or 5 points.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (220.5)

The Thunder and the Rockets have two of the top defenses in the NBA, and for that reason alone, I thin it’s going to be a lower score. Both teams have the ability to score in bunches, which will probably happen at times, but I don’t see this one going a total of 210 let alone into the 220s.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt6-24-45-3
Zack7-16-25-3
Craig6-16-0-15-2

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