Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored Over Mavs Despite SEGABABA in Dallas

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, Texas)

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Total: 224.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Mavericks
28-13 (68%)	All	19-21-1 (47%)
13-8 (61%) on the road	Location	10-10 (50%) at home
27-12 (69%) as favorite	Status	7-10-1 (41%) as underdog or pick
23-7 (63%) as road favorite	Location Status	2-3 (40%) as home underdog
1-1 (50%)	Head To Head	1-1 (50%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 19-21-1 (47%) against the over on the season.
• Dallas is 20-21 (48%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 9-11-1 (45%) against the over on the road.
• The Mavs are 7-13 (35%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	116.6	103.6	47.4	35.4	43.7	26.0	12.1	11.6	5.9	W4	9-1
DAL	115.6	112.2	47.7	37.2	44.6	25.2	14.3	8.2	5.8	L3	2-8

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (G League — on assignment) is AVAILABLE.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Mavericks

• Luka Doncic (strained left calf) is OUT.
• Kessler Edwards (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Dante Exum (right wrist surgery) is OUT.
• Jazian Gortman (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Kyrie Irving (sprained lumbar back) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Derek Lively II (sprained right ankle) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder is 1-1 against the Mavs so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-8.5)

This absolutely feels like a trap game for OKC. After a monster win last night at home against Cleveland, the Thunder could easily let down on the road in the second game of a back-to-back against a team without its best player in Luka Doncic and maybe without Kyrie Irving. Still, I think OKC knows that they have to re-focus, and in the end, the Mavericks should not be able to hang with the Thunder for four quarters considering who they are missing. OKC should win by double digits, so I’m taking them to cover.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (224.5)

OKC’s starters got plenty of rest after dominating Cleveland last night through the first three quarters, so they shouldn’t be all that tired tonight. Still, it’s the second game of a back-to-back, plus they had to travel, so maybe Dallas scores a few more points than they would have under normal circumstances. Either way, I think the Mavs struggle to stop the Thunder, so I’m thinking over on this point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	29-10	23-15-1	16-23
Zack	34-7	30-11	21-20
Craig	33-7	29-8-2	19-21