Thunder Against Spread | OKC a Near Double-Digit Spread At Home Against Lakers

Tip-Off: 2:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-9)

Total: 230.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Lakers
52-26 (66%)All42-35 (54%)
29-11 (72%) at homeLocation16-21 (43%) on the road
50-25 (66%) as favoriteStatus17-12 (58%) as underdog
29-11 (72%) as home favoriteLocation Status11-9 (55%) as road underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 42-35-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
  • Los Angeles is 39-38 (50%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 24-16 (60%) against the over at home.
  • The Lakers are 20-17 (54%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
LAL113.2112.347.836.142.426.213.87.74.5W15-5
OKC120.3107.248.137.544.826.911.910.45.8L19-1

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
  • Alex Ducas (strained right quad) is OUT.
  • Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (sprained left ankle) is OUT.

Lakers

  • LeBron James (strained left groin) is PROBABLE.
  • Maxi Kleber (right foot surgery recovery) is OUT.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 3-1 against the Pistons (2-0 at home, 0-1 on the road, 1-0 at neutral location).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-8.5)

OKC hasn’t lost a lot of games this season, but when they do, they recover well. The Thunder has lost back-to-back games just once, and they tend to come out with a little extra after a loss, often blowing teams out by 20+. I don’t think they beat the Lakers that badly, but I do believe OKC sneaks over the line to cover the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (230.5)

OKC’s offense sputtered against Houston on Friday, but that was more the exception than the rule. I think they will get back on track today and hit some key shots in front of the home crowd, but I also believe the Lakers will keep the game close for a good portion of it, so I’m expecting a higher-scoring game.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt57-1846-28-134-41-1
Zack64-1455-2340-38
Craig61-1554-20-237-38-1

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