Thunder Against the Spread | With LeBron, Luka, and Others Upgraded to Probably, OKC Still a Heavy Favorite

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Total: 226

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Lakers
52-27 (65%)	All	43-35 (55%)
29-12 (70%) at home	Location	17-21 (44%) on the road
50-26 (65%) as favorite	Status	18-12 (60%) as underdog
29-12 (70%) as home favorite	Location Status	12-9 (57%) as road underdog
1-1 (50%)	Head To Head	1-1 (50%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 42-36-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
• Los Angeles is 39-39 (50%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 24-17 (58%) against the over at home.
• The Lakers are 20-18 (52%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
LAL	113.4	112.1	47.9	36.4	42.4	26.1	13.8	7.7	4.5	W2	5-5
OKC	120.0	107.5	48.1	37.4	44.7	26.9	11.8	10.3	5.8	L2	8-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (strained right quad) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (right great toe surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.

Lakers

• Luka Doncic (strained right groin) is PROBABLE.
• Dorian Finney-Smith (left ankle effusion) is PROBABLE.
• Rui Hachimura (left patellar tendinopathy) is OUT.
• Bronny James (illness) is OUT.
• LeBron James (strained left groin) is PROBABLE.
• Maxi Kleber (right foot surgery recovery) is OUT.
• Austin Reaves (sprained right ankle) is PROBABLE.
• Gabe Vincent (left ankle effusion) is PROBABLE.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 1-1 against the Lakers (0-1 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9.5)

OKC has lost no more than two consecutive games this season, and they have only done that twice. I don’t see them giving up a third consecutive loss, especially after letting the Lakers walk all over them on Sunday. Normally, there’s no way I would expect the Thunder to cover by double digits after what happened two days prior. Still, the Lakers have a matchup with the Mavericks tomorrow, and with that being Luka’s return to Dallas, you’d think they would want to be healthy and ready to go. I do expect the game to be fairly close for at least the majority of the first three quarters, but I believe the Thunder will want to avenge Sunday’s embarrassing loss with a big win tonight.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (226.5)

Hitting the over is dependent upon the Thunder pouring on the scoring for a big win. After a rough day on Sunday, OKC should rebound with a quality outing, and while I do believe Los Angeles will score enough to keep it interesting for a while, I think OKC will push the point total over the limit late.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	57-19	46-29-1	35-41-1
Zack	64-15	55-24	40-39
Craig	61-16	55-20-2	37-39-1