Thunder Against the Spread | OKC is a Monster Favorite Against Visiting Wizards

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 231.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Wizards
1-4 (20%)All1-3 (25%)
0-2 (0%) at homeLocation1-1 (50%) on the road
1-4 (20%) as favoriteStatus1-2 (33%) as underdog
0-2 (0%) as home favoriteLocation Status1-1 (50%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 2-3 (40%) against the over on the season.
  • Washington is 3-1 (75%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 1-1 (50%) against the over at home.
  • The Wizards are 1-1 (5c0%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
WAS121.0129.546.438.148.527.015.37.85.3L21-3
OKC118.2110.845.628.849.422.813.49.44.8W55-0

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Chet Holmgren (lower back soreness) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Joe (left knee contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
  • Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Jalen Williams (right wrist surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Kenrich Williams (left knee surgical recovery) is OUT.

Wizards

  • Marvin Bagley III (sprained right ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.

Series History

OKC went 2-0 against the Wizards in the 2024-25 regular season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-15.5)

This is just too many points for me. The Wizards have the worst defense in the NBA so far, but OKC has shot worse than any other team from downtown. I do think the Thunder uses this game as an opportunity to improve their % from three, and they should win by double digits, but I won’t be surprised if Washington just barely covers this spread late in the game.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (231.5)

Despite OKC’s offensive woes, the defense has been pretty solid. Despite playing in two double-overtime games to start the season, the Thunder allows just 110.8 points per game, 5th in the league. I think OKC keeps Washington around that number, keeping the game total down.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt4-02-20-4
Zack4-02-22-2
Craig4-02-21-3

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