Friday Locks, Week 14 | Rivalries & Reckonings

After six straight weeks of one of us running the table, reality finally caught up in Week 13. The perfect-weekend streak snapped, and we collectively stumbled to an even 6–6 card — a reminder that this sport stays humbling no matter how locked in you think you are. Still, the bigger picture remains profitable, with our season record sitting at 83–82–3, safely above water as we head into rivalry week and conference chaos. So if Week 13 was a gut check, then Week 14 is our response — and we’re coming into Friday with something to prove.

This week’s board is loaded with heavyweight matchups and temperature-check games across the country. Caleb is backing Utah and Indiana to handle overwhelmed opponents and riding with Texas A&M in a hatred-fueled showdown with Texas. Craig is also rolling with the Aggies to make a playoff statement in Austin, while trusting Ole Miss to stay focused on the road and Alabama to survive another Iron Bowl battle. Matt is piling on Mississippi State’s misery, doubling down on Utah’s consistency, and calling for Georgia to overpower a leaky Georgia Tech defense. Zack sees Utah finishing strong, Texas Tech continuing its demolition tour, and Oregon asserting itself in a slugfest at Washington. Four voices. One mission. Friday night Locks — let’s get to work.

2025 Season Results

NameLast WeekOverall
Craig2-122-18-2
Zacl2-122-19-1
Matt1-221-21
Caleb1-218-24

Caleb 

Utah (-10.5) vs KansasKansas hasn’t looked good this season, while Utah’s offense has looked dominant.

Indiana (-28.5) vs PurdueIndiana has scored with ease this season and their defense has played very complimentary as well. Purdue comes into this game very outmatched.

Texas A&M (-2.5) vs TexasThis game should be a fun game to watch, two teams who hate each other. A&M has been the top dog in the SEC all season, led by a stout defense and an explosive offense. Texas has struggled at times to be able to move the ball down field and I don’t expect it to be much different in this game.

Craig 

Ole Miss -7 at Mississippi State – There’s lots of distractions around Lane Kiffin and the Ole Miss program. But, they’ve been doing a great job at blocking out the noise. I expect that to continue as they face a lesser opponent in Mississippi State. 

Texas A&M -2.5 at Texas – The Aggies have a chance to secure their spot in the playoffs and simultaneously crush any hopes that the Longhorns may have of making it to the CFP. It’ll be tough to get the job done on the road, but I think Texas A&M wins this one by a touchdown. 

Alabama -5.5 at Auburn – This is another one of those great rivalry matchups this weekend. Alabama just needs to win and they’re in the SEC championship game. Give me the Tide to cover this spread on the road. 

Matt 

Ole Miss (-7) at Mississippi State – Ole Miss ranks 14th nationally in scoring offense and 28th in scoring defense. Mississippi State is 92nd in scoring defense and is 2-21 in SEC play since the start of 2023. The talent gap is stark.

Utah (-10.5) at Kansas – The Utes have been one of the most reliable teams this season, boasting an impressive 8-3 ATS record. They are 5-1 ATS when favored by 11.5 points or more, showing they consistently handle large-favorite roles.

Georgia (-13.5) at Georgia Tech – The Yellow Jackets’ defense has been abysmal recently, ranking near the bottom of the country in defensive success rate and allowing over 42 points in two of their last three games. They rank 103rd in success rate allowed on pass plays, which Georgia’s improving passing game is ready to exploit.

Zack 

Utah (-10.5) at Kansas – The Utes are still holding on to some hope that they can make the Big 12 Championship game, and after a close win last week over Kansas State, I think they get back to laying down the law with a blowout win to wrap up the regular season.

Texas Tech (-23.5) at West Virginia – The Red Raiders aren’t just beating teams this season: they’re destroying them. Sure, the Mountaineers have improved week over week, but Texas Tech has Big 12 Championship dreams, and a stop in Morgantown is just the next stepping stone. The closest the score will be is 0-0 at kickoff.

Oregon (-6.5) at Washington – The Ducks are the better team in this one, and while Huskies have a solid 8-3 record, their premier win is against Illinois, who isn’t even ranked anymore. I like Oregon to win this one by double digits.

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