Tip-Off: 1:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Total: 232.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Spurs |
| 16-14 (53%) | All | 16-13-1 (55%) |
| 9-6 (60%) at home | Location | 7-10 (41%) on the road |
| 16-14 (53%) as favorite | Status | 9-4 (69%) as underdog |
| 9-6 (60%) as home favorite | Location Status | 6-4 (60%) as road underdog |
| 0-2 (0%) | Head To Head | 2-0 (100%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 16-14 (53%) against the over on the season.
- San Antonio is 16-14 (53%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 8-7 (53%) against the over at home.
- The Spurs are 10-7 (58%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAS | 120.4 | 113.6 | 48.6 | 36.7 | 45.9 | 26.3 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 4.8 | W7 | 9-1 |
| OKC | 121.9 | 107.0 | 49.3 | 37.3 | 44.6 | 25.9 | 12.7 | 10.4 | 5.2 | L1 | 7-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
- Ajay Mitchell (concussion protocol) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.
Spurs
- Harrison Ingram (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- David Jones Garcia (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Stanley Umude (G League — two-way) is OUT.
Series History
OKC is 0-2 against San Antonio so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road, 0-1 at a neutral location).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9.5)
The Spurs have not only covered the spread twice against the Thunder in the last 2 weeks, but they have outright beaten them, and it wasn’t exactly close a couple of days ago. San Antonio has played the aggressor, while OKC has looked far too passive in the previous meetings, but I don’t see that happening again, especially in front of the home crowd on Christmas Day. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won’t be the only player in a Thunder uniform to have a big game this time. I think Jalen Williams reminds everyone why he’s one of the best 2nd options in the league, and Chet Holmgren proves he’s a worthy rival for Victor Wembanyama.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (232.5)
Tuesday’s meeting between these two teams hit the over due to San Antonio’s fourth-quarter explosion that led to a blowout, but with both teams having a day of rest in between the game, I think this one will lean more heavily on defense. OKC’s defense has struggled to keep San Antonio’s guards out of the paint, but I won’t be surprised if Mark Daigneault has made necessary adjustments to taper their production this time. I like this one being close to the line but coming in just under the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 26-4 | 17-13 | 13-17 |
| Zack | 26-4 | 16-14 | 15-15 |
| Craig | 26-4 | 12-17-1 | 11-19 |