Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Hosts Spurs as Home Favorite in Christmas Day Grudge Match

Tip-Off: 1:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-9.5)

Total: 232.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Spurs
16-14 (53%)	All	16-13-1 (55%)
9-6 (60%) at home	Location	7-10 (41%) on the road
16-14 (53%) as favorite	Status	9-4 (69%) as underdog
9-6 (60%) as home favorite	Location Status	6-4 (60%) as road underdog
0-2 (0%)	Head To Head	2-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 16-14 (53%) against the over on the season.
• San Antonio is 16-14 (53%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 8-7 (53%) against the over at home.
• The Spurs are 10-7 (58%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
SAS	120.4	113.6	48.6	36.7	45.9	26.3	14.4	8.4	4.8	W7	9-1
OKC	121.9	107.0	49.3	37.3	44.6	25.9	12.7	10.4	5.2	L1	7-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (concussion protocol) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.

Spurs

• Harrison Ingram (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• David Jones Garcia (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Stanley Umude (G League — two-way) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 0-2 against San Antonio so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road, 0-1 at a neutral location).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9.5)

The Spurs have not only covered the spread twice against the Thunder in the last 2 weeks, but they have outright beaten them, and it wasn’t exactly close a couple of days ago. San Antonio has played the aggressor, while OKC has looked far too passive in the previous meetings, but I don’t see that happening again, especially in front of the home crowd on Christmas Day. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won’t be the only player in a Thunder uniform to have a big game this time. I think Jalen Williams reminds everyone why he’s one of the best 2nd options in the league, and Chet Holmgren proves he’s a worthy rival for Victor Wembanyama.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (232.5)

Tuesday’s meeting between these two teams hit the over due to San Antonio’s fourth-quarter explosion that led to a blowout, but with both teams having a day of rest in between the game, I think this one will lean more heavily on defense. OKC’s defense has struggled to keep San Antonio’s guards out of the paint, but I won’t be surprised if Mark Daigneault has made necessary adjustments to taper their production this time. I like this one being close to the line but coming in just under the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	26-4	17-13	13-17
Zack	26-4	16-14	15-15
Craig	26-4	12-17-1	11-19