Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
Total: 219.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Magic |
| 24-26 (48%) | All | 19-29 (39%) |
| 12-14 (46%) at home | Location | 9-16 (36%) on the road |
| 24-26 (48%) as favorite | Status | 6-8 (42%) as underdog |
| 12-14 (46%) as home favorite | Location Status | 4-6 (40%) as road underdog |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head To Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 27-23 (54%) against the over on the season.
- Orlando is 24-24 (50%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 13-13 (50%) against the over at home.
- The Magic are 13-12 (52%) against the over at home.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 115.5 | 115.6 | 46.4 | 34.3 | 43.8 | 26.3 | 13.9 | 8.3 | 5.0 | L1 | 4-6 |
| OKC | 120.3 | 108.0 | 48.9 | 35.9 | 43.5 | 25.4 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 5.9 | W1 | 6-4 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (strained right adductor) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (sprained right index finger) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (right soleus injury management) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Chet Holmgren (low back spasms) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (left shoulder contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
Magic
- Colin Castleton (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Franz Wagner ( left high ankle sprain injury management) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-7.5)
This line worries because of all the questions surrounding the injury report. If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander plays, I feel better about it, and if either one of Chet Holmgren or Isaiah Hartenstein plays, I feel MUCH better about it. Realistically, they could all sit, and the Thunder could be looking at heavy minutes for guys like Branden Carlson and Brooks Barnhizer. I like OKC’s depth enough to see them win the game, but covering the spread could be a tall task, so I’m taking Orlando to cover.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (219.5)
If OKC is missing even more guys than normal, the defense could take a hit. That turns this into more of an offensive game, and with a low point total like this, I have a hard time believing both the Thunder and the Magic will score below their season averages. I’m taking the over.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 38-12 | 23-27 | 23-27 |
| Zack | 39-11 | 26-24 | 25-25 |
| Craig | 39-11 | 16-33-1 | 19-31 |