Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-9)
Total: 232.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Lakers |
| 35-41 (46%) | All | 43-33 (56%) |
| 17-22 (43%) at home | Location | 20-18 (52%) on the road |
| 32-40 (44%) as favorite | Status | 14-16 (46%) as underdog |
| 16-22 (42%) as home favorite | Location Status | 8-9 (47%) as road underdog |
| 2-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-2 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 40-36 (52%) against the over on the season.
- Los Angeles is 38-38 (50%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 19-20 (48%) against the over at home.
- The Lakers are 17-21 (44%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 116.8 | 114.7 | 50.2 | 35.8 | 41.0 | 25.5 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 4.3 | W4 | 9-1 |
| OKC | 118.6 | 107.6 | 48.2 | 35.9 | 44.1 | 25.3 | 12.6 | 9.6 | 5.5 | W3 | 9-1 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Alex Caruso (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
Lakers
- Kobe Bufkin (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Dalton Knecht (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Marcus Smart (right ankle contusion) is OUT.
- Adou Thiero (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-9)
Both the Thunder and the Lakers are playing well lately, and even though OKC is 2-0 against LA so far this season, neither team was at full health in those games. Both teams are as close to full strength as they have been all season, and both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luka Doncic have been playing lights out for their teams. LA’s defense has played better recently, but OKC’s defense is far more consistent. The Thunder has been far better in clutch situations, as well, so this one has all the right ingredients to end in not just a win for OKC, but a big win against a good team.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (232.5)
The Thunder and the Lakers are both solid on offense, and while OKC’s defense is the best in the league, LA’s ability to slow down opposing teams is questionable at best. Still, the Lakers have been solid for a while, and when playing teams with quality defenses, total scores have been on the lower side. I anticipate some impressive scoring displays from Shai and Luka, but I’m still taking the under on this one.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 60-15 | 33-42 | 31-44 |
| Zack | 61-15 | 37-39 | 38-38 |
| Craig | 59-16 | 28-46-1 | 31-44 |