Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Once Again Heavily Favored Over Lakers for Game 2

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 210.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Lakers
42-45 (48%)	All	50-39 (56%)
21-24 (46%) at home	Location	23-22 (51%) on the road
39-43 (47%) as favorite	Status	20-20 (50%) as underdog
20-24 (45%) as home favorite	Location Status	11-12 (47%) as road underdog
5-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-5 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 48-39 (55%) against the over on the season.
• Los Angeles is 44-45 (49%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 23-22 (51%) against the over at home.
• The Lakers are 22-23 (48%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Playoffs)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
LAL	99.6	99.2	46.4	37.7	41.4	23.6	17.7	7.6	6.3	L1	4-3
OKC	119.8	102.4	48.9	37.4	44.0	26.4	11.8	9.2	6.0	W5	5-0

Injury Report

Thunder

• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained left hamstring) is OUT.

Lakers

• Luka Doncic (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
• Luke Kennard (neck soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jarred Vanderbilt (dislocated right finger) is DOUBTFUL.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-15.5)

OKC isn’t just the better team in this matchup; they are clearly, unequivocally, without argument superior to the Lakers in basically every facet of the game. The Thunder SHOULD dominate again, and SHOULD cover this giant spread again. With that being said, it’s the Playoffs, AND it’s the Lakers we’re talking about, so it wouldn’t be crazy to see something abnormal take place. Following the outcome of Game 1, I don’t see many adjustments that can be made to bring about a different ending, so I like OKC to cover once again.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (210.5)

I’m a big believer in the Thunder’s defensive abilities, so limiting the Lakers’ scoring should still be the primary focus for OKC. Still, I think LA looks a little more prepared on offense after making some adjustments from Game 1. Also, I expect a big game from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, which will open up the Thunder offense as a whole. That means more points for OKC. Don’t be surprised if the point total creeps towards 220, even if the Thunder blows the game wide open once again.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	69-17	37-49	35-51
Zack	71-16	45-42	43-44
Craig	69-17	31-54-1	33-53