Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored Over the Grizzlies in Memphis

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: FedExForum (Memphis, Tennessee)

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

Total: 224.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Cavaliers
5-3 (62%)All6-2 (75%)
2-2 (50%) on the roadLocation2-2 (50%) at home
4-2 (60%) as favoriteStatus2-0 (100%) as underdog
1-1 (66%) as road favoriteLocation Status0-0 (0%) as home underdog
0-0 (0%)Head-to-Head0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

  • Oklahoma City is 2-6 (25%) against the over for the season.
  • Memphis is 3-5 (37%) against the over for the season.
  • The Thunder are 0-4 (0%) against the over on the road.
  • The Grizzlies are 2-2 (50%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC110.0108.844.033.346.621.613.37.85.8W26-2
MEM120.5109.847.340.049.527.516.56.35.8L26-2

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Chet Holmgren (right knee patellar tendinitis) is OUT.
  • Thomas Sorber (right knee surgery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (low back surgery) is OUT.
  • Cason Wallace (left shoulder labral tear) is OUT.
  • Jalen Williams (left ankle fracture) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (lower back spasms) is OUT.

Grizzlies

  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (lumbar disc herniation) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Stewart (right knee bone bruise) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-4.5)

OKC remains shorthanded, sure, but even though Memphis got off to a hot start, the Grizzlies have dropped consecutive games to teams with losing records. Memphis has had the easiest schedule thus far, while the Thunder have managed their injury situation pretty well. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still an MVP-caliber player, and I think he has another big night to lead OKC to a win, covering the spread in the process.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (224.5)

OKC still has one of the lower-scoring offenses in the league, but the gradual improvement is evident. Meanwhile, Memphis has one of the top-scoring offenses in the league. I don’t think those stats are true indicators of where these two teams are, though. The Thunder are seeing some solid contributions from guys that probably wouldn’t be playing much if the team were completely healthy, and Memphis hasn’t played anyone as good as OKC. I see this one getting close to the point total, but ultimately coming up just short of the line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt4-43-54-4
Zack6-24-45-3
Craig5-34-43-5

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