Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored by Double Digits at Home Against Wizards

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Total: 223.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Wizards
6-3 (66%)	All	5-4 (55%)
3-1 (75%) at home	Location	3-2 (60%) on the road
5-2 (71%) as favorite	Status	4-4 (50%) as underdog
3-1 (75%) as home favorite	Location Status	3-2 (60%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head-to-Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 3-6 (33%) against the over for the season.
• Washington is 2-7 (22%) against the over for the season.
• The Thunder are 2-2 (50%) against the over on the road.
• The Wizards are 1-4 (20%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
WAS	111.4	112.3	47.9	32.4	41.0	25.1	14.8	7.9	5.6	L2	4-5
OKC	112.0	107.4	45.3	34.8	46.4	22.0	13.2	8.0	5.8	W3	7-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Chet Holmgren (right knee patellar tendinitis) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right knee surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (left shoulder labral tear) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (left ankle fracture) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (lower back spasms) is OUT.

Wizards

• Reece Beekman (right AC joint injury) is OUT.
• Justin Champagnie (right foot surgery) is OUT.
• Anthony Davis (sprained right ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Felix Okpara (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Tristan Vukcevic (left hip impingement) is OUT.
• Jamir Watkins (left ACL repair surgery) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-11.5)

Both the Thunder and the Wizards are playing in the second game of a back-to-back, and both had to travel to OKC from their game locations last night. OKC is a double-digit spread in this one, but the Wizards haven’t been terrible so far this season. If Anthony Davis (sprained ankle) doesn’t play, I feel really good about the Thunder covering. Even if he does play, I’m still taking OKC to cover because they’re at home on a Saturday night, and that’s enough to convince me.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (224.5)

I can’t decide if I expect shots to be short due to fatigue from playing in the second game of a back-to-back or if the game will be higher-scoring because defenses will be tired from playing in the second game of a back-to-back. Maybe neither. Still, OKC’s offense is looking better every day, but the defense still has spells of letdowns. All of that, on top of my expectation that the Thunder cover the spread, leads me to believe the score will go over the line.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	5-4	3-6	4-5
Zack	7-2	5-4	5-4
Craig	6-3	5-4	3-6