Tip-Off: 10 PM CT
Location: Moda Center (Portland, Oregon)
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
Total: 225.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Blazers |
| 7-3 (70%) | All | 5-4 (55%) |
| 3-2 (60%) on the road | Location | 1-2 (33%) at home |
| 6-2 (75%) at home | Status | 2-2 (50%) as underdog |
| 2-1 (66%) as road favorite | Location Status | 0-1 (0%) as home underdog |
| 0-0 (0%) | Head-to-Head | 0-0 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 3-7 (30%) against the over for the season.
- Portland is 4-5 (44%) against the over for the season.
- The Thunder are 1-4 (20%) against the over on the road.
- The Blazers are 0-3 (0%) against the over at home.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 112.2 | 104.2 | 45.7 | 34.9 | 47.3 | 23.1 | 13.2 | 8.1 | 5.9 | W4 | 8-2 |
| POR | 119.3 | 113.8 | 47.3 | 35.6 | 45.2 | 26.2 | 16.9 | 7.3 | 4.8 | L:2 | 6-3 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Chet Holmgren (right knee patellar tendinitis) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right knee surgery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
- Cason Wallace (left shoulder labral tear) is OUT.
- Jalen Williams (left ankle fracture) is OUT.
- Jaylin Williams (lower back spasms) is OUT.
Blazers
- Vit Krejci (fractured left ankle) is OUT.
- Ja Morant (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
- Shaedon Sharpe (right meniscus surgery) is OUT.
- John Tonje (G League — two-way) is OUT.
Why the Thunder Will Cover (-1.5)
The Blazers have had extreme outcomes in each of their three home games: 2 blowout losses (Grizzlies, Spurs) by at least 21 points and a 41-point win in their opener against the Phoenix Suns. Despite being in the top half of the league in 3-point percentage (35.6%), they have made just 30.5% of their attempts from downtown at home. To be fair, they’ve been on the road a lot, but they rely on their offense to win games. OKC was the NBA’s top defensive team last week, and I think they can carry at least some of that momentum into this one. I think the Thunder open up this West Coast road trip and first night of a back-to-back against the Blazers with a solid win.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (225.5)
Portland’s offense is one of the highest-scoring in the league at 119.3 points per game, but OKC’s defense is holding opponents to just 104.2 points per game, 2nd best in the NBA. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been pretty spectacular, and so has his supporting cast, but I expect the Thunder to win by limiting the Blazers, not by outscoring them. As a result, I like the under on this point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 6-4 | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Zack | 8-2 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Craig | 7-3 | 5-5 | 4-6 |