Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | Picking The Thunder & The Over

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 8:00 PM CT

Location: United Center (Chicago)

Spread: Bulls (-5.5)

Total: 225

Thunder/Bulls Trends Against The Spread

ThunderBulls
All
22-17 (56%)20-16-1 (55%)
Location
13-6 (68%) on the road8-12-1 (40%) at home
Status
20-17 (54%) as an underdog or pick5-6-1 (45%) as a favorite
Location Status
12-6 (66%) as a road dog3-4-1 (42%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Bulls/Thunder Trends Against The Total

Chicago is 19-17-1 overall against the over this season.

OKC is 5-1 against the over this season when the total is between 223.5 and 226.5.

The Bulls are hitting the over 50% of the time at home this season.

The Thunder are only hitting the over 38% of the time on the road this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
 OKC106.5111.845.044.523.14.36.8W16-4
 CHI114.1114.648.144.626.44.56.8W15-5

Key Players

This game looks like it’ll be a battle of the guards between OKC’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chicago’s Zach LaVine. In the previous meeting this season LaVine paced all scorers with 35 points while also grabbing 7 rebounds and dishing out 6 assists.

SGA was right on Lavine’s heels with a 33-point effort on January 15th. The Thunder guard also produced a double-double in the overtime win by producing 10 assists.

Series History

Game 1 | Thunder 127 – Bulls 125

Why The Thunder Will Cover (+5.5)

Both teams have a similar overall winning percentage against the spread this season but Oklahoma City is a much stronger road team than Chicago is a home team. The Bulls are just 8-12-1 against the spread at home this season and the Thunder are 13-6 against the spread on the road.

As a road underdog OKC is 12-6 against the spread this season and Chicago is just 3-4-1 as a home favorite. The final contributing factor here for me is that the Thunder are covering the spread 60% of the time this season following an off day.

On January 15th Oklahoma City beat Chicago, in OKC, as a 2.5 point underdog.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Will Hit The Over (223.5)

Here’s where Zack and I are going to disagree. I have the game going to the over and he’s got the under. I think it’ll be close either way. Oklahoma City hits the over 50% of the time on the road and Chicago hits the over 52% of the time at home. There are concerning factors like the Thunder only hitting the over 41% of the time after an off day. However, that’s offset by Chicago hitting the over 55% of the time after a day off.

There’s a history between these two of hitting the over this season and I think they continue that tonight. The Thunder are 5-1 (83%) against the over when the total is between 223.5 and 226.5 points. Chicago is 7-5 (58%) in the same situation.

On The Season

I lost on both fronts Sunday which puts me on a two-game losing streak against the over.

Against the Spread: 4-11 Last Pick: Memphis (-6.5) vs. OKC

Over/Under: 10-5 Last Pick: Memphis/OKC under (221)

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