Tip-Off: 6:00 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Nets (-9.5)
Nets/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|6-7 (47%)||7-4 (63%)|
|3-4 (42%) on the road||4-1 (80%) at home|
|6-6 (50%) as a favorite||7-4 (63%) as an underdog or pick|
|3-3 as a road favorite (50%)||4-1 (80%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Nets/Thunder Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over just 18% of the time this season.
The Nets are hitting the over 30% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 2-3 against the over at home.
Brooklyn is 3-4 against the over on the road.
Kevin Durant has led Brooklyn to the second best record in the East with an average of 29.4 points per game. He’s coming fresh off a 28 point performance at New Orleans on Friday night.
James Harden is dishing out an average of nine assists per game and LaMarcus Aldridge is shooting 60% from the floor.
The Thunder are just a game below .500, and on a four-game winning streak, thanks to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 22.5 points per game. He was right on that average in Friday night’s win over Sacramento where he posted 22 points.
Rookie Josh Giddy is dishing out an average of 6.1 assists per game and Darius Bazley is shooting 43.2% from the floor.
First meeting of the season.
Why The Thunder Will Cover (+9.5)
Oklahoma City is riding the hot hand of a 4-game winning streak and they’re playing at home where they’re averaging 105.6 points per game. The Nets are 3-4 against the spread when playing on the road this season and the Thunder are a strong 4-1 against the spread at home. When playing after a day off OKC is beating the spread 60% of the time. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is only covering 45% of the time following a day off. The Nets very easily could end Oklahoma City’s winning streak tonight but I’m a big fan of the Thunder and those points.
Why The Game Will Hit The Over (213)
The safest bet for Oklahoma City right now is the under. They’ve been terrible against the over this season, hitting just 18% of the time. The Thunder are also 0-2 against the over when the total is between 212 and 215 points. We should also mention that OKC is just 1-9 against the over when playing after a day off.
All that said, I like the over tonight. Brooklyn has a lot of offensive firepower with Kevin Durant and James Harden and they’ve also got a lot of defensive liabilities. The Nets are allowing opponents to score and average of 108.15 points per game when playing on the road so that means there’s a good chance we see a bit of a spike in OKC’s 105.6 points per game average when playing at home.
I’m riding with the odds of both teams hitting this game in stride, and putting points on the board, as opposed to recent trends. It could burn me, like it did Friday night, but I’m taking the over.
On The Season
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