Thunder Against The Spread | The Under Seems Imminent But What About The Spread At Atlanta?

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta)

Spread: Atlanta (-12)

Total: 213.5

Thunder/Bucks Trends Against The Spread

10-6 (62%)7-10 (41%)
5-3 (62%) on the road7-1 (87%) at home
9-6 (60%) as an underdog7-3 (70%) as a favorite
Location Status
5-3 as a road underdog (50%)7-0 (100%) as a home favorite
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Thunder/Hawks Trends Against The Total

OKC is hitting the over just 25% of the time this season.

The Hawks are hitting the over 41% of the time this season.

The Thunder are 1-7 against the over on the road.

Atlanta is 3-5 against the over at home.

Team Stats

 OKC98.6105.640.848.4204.37.1L 25-5
 ATL109.4109.24646. 44-6

Key Players

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is listed as day-to-day on Oklahoma City’s injury report. He leads the Thunder in scoring (20.4 PPG) but as of late it’s been Lu Dort leading the charge. Shooting a team best 43.8% from the floor, Dort has averaged 20 points a game over the last five and had a 34-point performance against Houston last week.

Rookie Josh Giddy is averaging 5.6 assists per game.

Former Oklahoma basketball star Trae Young is leading the Hawks in both scoring and in assists. Averaging 24.7 points and 9.2 assists per game, Young is a threat for a double-double each time he steps out on the floor. Just over a week ago he scored 42 points and delivered 10 assists in a 120-100 win over Milwaukee.

Center Clint is shooting 58.6% from the floor for the Hawks.

Series History

First meeting of the season.

Why The Thunder Will Cover (-11.5)

Oklahoma is proving that it won’t be an easy out on the road. The Thunder have dropped back into the basement of the Northwest Division standings but they aren’t going down without a fight. The Thunder are covering on the road 62% of the time and in each of the first two games of this road trip they’ve covered. OKC was a 12.5-point underdog at Milwaukee and a 9-point underdog at Boston last week. Now as they hit the final game of this road stretch there’s a big reason to be confident in them covering tonight in Atlanta against a team that’s arguably not up to par with the last two opponents.

Atlanta is outscoring opponents by an average of 115.6-104.1 at home this season which is a margin that’s right at the 11.5 margin for tonight. OKC is riding a hot hand against the spread right now, covering in eight of the last ten games, and that’s a good reason to stick with them again tonight.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (213.5)

We strayed from the norm on Saturday and told you to take the over in the game at Boston. We were right to do that as the game did surpass the total of 205 but it’s time to dial that back and take the under tonight in Atlanta. The Thunder are 1-7 against the over on the road and the Hawks are 3-5 against the over at home. When the total is greater than 205 OKC is surpassing it just 12% of the time and Atlanta is only beating it 37% of the time. When playing after a day off the Thunder are hitting the over 15% of the time and the Hawks 38% of the time.

With SGA and Bogdan Bogdanovic potentially on the shelf tonight, the under is absolutely the way to go in this one.

On The Season


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