Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (OKC)
Spread: Washington (-7)
Wizards/Thunder Trends Against The Spread
|10-7-1 (58%)||12-6 (66%)|
|3-5-1 (37%) on the road||6-3 (66%) at home|
|4-3-1 (57%) as a favorite||11-6 (64%) as an underdog|
|1-1-1 as a road favorite (50%)||5-3 (62%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Wizards/Thunder Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over 33% of the time this season.
The Wizards are also hitting the over 33% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 4-5 against the over at home.
Washington is 3-6 against the over on the road.
Bradley Beal leads Washington in both scoring and in assists with an average of 23.3 points and 5.8 assists per night. In Wednesday’s loss at New Orleans he was right on that scoring mark with 23 points on 55% shooting from the floor. Just over a week ago Beal had a 30-point night against Miami where he shot 61% from the floor and dished out five dimes.
Montrezl Harrell has been a nice addition to the Wizards roster as well. The big man is shooting 64.6% from the floor while averaging 17 points and 9 rebounds per game.
It’s unlikely that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is going to play for Oklahoma City as he’s nursing an ankle injury. That means Lu Dort is going to be looked upon again to lead the charge. Shooting 42.8% from the floor this season, Dort is averaging 17.1 points per game and is coming off a 27-point performance against Utah on Wednesday night.
Rookie Josh Giddy is averaging 5. assists per game.
First meeting of the season
Why The Thunder Will Cover (+7)
I talked myself out of picking Oklahoma City to cover against Utah on Wednesday night due to the absence of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. I’m not making that mistake again! Washington is giving up an average of 103.8 points per game on the road this season while only scoring 100.2. That’s a great spot for the Thunder who are averaging 102.1 points per game at home this season.
OKC is covering the spread 66% of the time at home and are 5-3 as a home underdog this season. Meanwhile the Wizards are covering the spread just 37% of the time on the road this season and are 1-1-1 as a road favorite.
Why The Game Will Hit The Over (206)
First off, I think this point total is spot on! I worked it out to a total of 206.1 with my formula and Vegas has it at 206. I guess that tenth of a point is enough to push me towards the over. If you need more convincing then let’s dive into a few more things here. Oklahoma City is riding a bit of a hot hand with the over, having hit it three times in a row now. Only the Boston game was lower than this total during the three-game streak. It was set at 205 and the game total exceeded it by 9 points.
When the total is between 204.5 and 207.5 then OKC is hitting the over 50% of the time and Washington is 1-0 in that same scenario.
Finally, I think this game closes out with a tight finish. It honestly would surprise me to see if go into overtime but regardless of that I feel like the late possessions are really going to matter. That means the pace of the game could be frantic all the way up to the final buzzer. That bodes well for the over.
On The Season
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