Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: Little Caesar’s Arena (Detroit)
Spread: Detroit (-5)
Thunder/Pistons Trends Against The Spread
|13-9 (59%) Overall||11-11 (50%) Overall|
|6-5 (54%) on the road||5-5 (50%) at home|
|12-8 (60%) as an underdog||1-0 (100%) as a favorite|
|6-5 (54%) as a road underdog||1-0 (100%) as a home favorite|
|Head To Head|
|0-0 (0%)||0-0 (0%)|
Thunder/Pistons Trends Against The Total
OKC is hitting the over 36% of the time this season.
The Pistons are hitting the over 42% of the time this season.
The Thunder are 3-8 against the over on the road.
Detroit is 4-6 against the over at home.
With 20.1 points per game, on 41.1% shooting from the floor, former Thunder player Jerami Grant has been the key figure for Detroit this season. He’s produced two 30-point games twice in Detroit’s last three, scoring 34 against Phoenix last Thursday and then 32 against the Lakers on November 28th.
Former Oklahoma State standout Cade Cunningham is dishing out 4.6 assists per game for the Pistons.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is out of concussion protocol and should be back on the floor tonight for the Thunder. That’s huge for OKC following Thursday’s woeful performance at Memphis. For the season SGA is averaging 21.2 points per game. In his most recent outing, against Houston on December 1st, he produced 39 points in a losing effort.
The Thunder is aided offensively by Lu Dort shooting 43.1% from the floor and Josh Giddy delivering 5.8 assists per game.
This is the first meeting of the season.
Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+3)
This is two teams in bad slumps playing each other tonight. They both come into this game riding 8-game losing streaks and are both 1-9 over the last ten games. Something has got to give tonight and unfortunately for the Thunder they’re the road team and that’s a disadvantage. OKC has lost two in a row against the spread on the road and with a spread this tight we’re back to position of practically picking a winner. I’m not sure that I’m willing to do that. The Thunder haven’t been within three points of a road opponent since they beat the Lakers 107-104 on November 4th. To me, that makes Detroit -3 the best pick for this game tonight.
Why The Game Won’t Hit The Over (205)
It’s no coincidence that the two teams riding 8-game losing streaks are also two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. That’s why this total is so low, at 205, but before you’re tempted to jump on the over I would encourage you to consider a few things first. Neither team is averaging triple-figure scores in this situation. OKC brings a 93.7-point road average to the Motor City and Detroit only averages 98.9 points per game at home. When playing after a day off the Thunder only hit the over 27% of the time and that same percentage holds true for road games as well. Meanwhile, the Pistons only hit the over 40% of the time at home.
I think it’s going to be incredibly close to this point total here but there’s just no way that I could have confidence in the over here, even if it is a low total.
On The Season
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